National Capitalism (Nacism) is the idea that capitalists should run nations. As we reach the ‘into the ground’ part of that calculation, the whole project is plagued by two glaring contradictions. If capitalism is the best, how can it get better? If communism is the worst, why get redder? Master Sun said you need to know both yourself and your enemy, and Nacis know neither. Mazer Rackham said the enemy is your teacher, but the Nacis have dropped out of history class to smoke their own propaganda. Thus they end up like the Nazis of yore, genociding pointlessly and retreating from Russians. Unable to resolve their contradictions, the Nacis become one. A dead man walking, whistling through the graveyard of better people.
In 1989, Francis Fukuyama declared the end of history, calling time saying “the fundamental principles of socio-political organization have not advanced terribly far since 1806.” He declared National Capitalism the last ideology standing, and said it would be a thousand years right. Describing the ideal Naci state, Fukuyama said, “We might summarize the content of the universal homogenous state as liberal democracy in the political sphere combined with easy access to VCRs and stereos in the economic.” So really just the Nazi Axis again, with the Japanese safely nuked into submission.
Fukuyama dismissed contradictions entirely saying “surely, the class issue has actually been successfully resolved in the West.” This was laughable when he wrote it, and should be a riot today. Fukuyama also said, “Are there, in other words, any fundamental “contradictions” in human life that cannot be resolved in the context of modern liberalism, that would be resolvable by an alternative political-economic structure?” Like an over-confident American at a job interview, Fukuyama said, essentially, our only contradiction is that we have no contradictions.
This belief in no contradictions leads to one big contradiction, which is that you actually do have contradictions, you're just not paying attention. America actually does have class issues, it does have cash issues, it has the same issues any other society has, and none of them disappeared by virtue of the USSR falling over. That was a different country a continent away, America didn't cause the fall of the USSR and they're not immune to the effects of ideological sclerosis themselves. Competition with the USSR had, in fact, motivated the USA; fear of socialism led to many of their social programs, and the productive power of socialism inspired their own production. The fall of their competitor was the worst thing that happened to them, they stopped competing after that. Without the USSR, the USA was like Larry Bird without Magic Johnson. They honestly didn't know what to do with themselves, and retired in pain shortly afterwards.
Since the end of the Cold War (actually a hot war for colored people), America has been pointlessly dunking on Muslims in a long genocide now culminating in Gaza, pointlessly punking Russia in a conflict now fulminating in Ukraine, and pointedly dumping Japan for China, a trade now terminating in trade war. Now that great power conflict has resumed, however, America discovers that they're not a great power anymore. Their proxy army is beaten by Russia, their paltry navy is beaten by Yemen, their pussy air force is only good for bombing children from afar, and their pathetic economy is beaten by China. The Nacis are catching a righteous beating, and you can't say they didn't have it coming. They're still trying to cross the bar to hit China but can't even get there without everyone else hitting them first.
Like the hare losing the race to sleeps, America thought the space race gave them the earth for keeps. In your dreams. The Nacis thus fell into the worst of contradictions, which is thinking that you have none (only true for the deceased, or about to be). This leads to all sorts of diseased thinking, and morbid symptoms (now is the time of morons). Worst importantly, it leads to stasis, which is death for any organism that must adapt or die.
But why improve ideologically, if all other ideologies are disproven? Why progress historically if history is over? Why hedge your bets at all if you're hegemon? This is how the end of history became a self-fulfilling prophecy. The capitalist hare fell asleep thinking no way the commie tortoise could outrun them, and now it's too late. All they can do is cry foul and blame the judges for a race they set and just slept through of their own accord. Thus the first lesson of the first contradiction is this. If you rest on your laurels, they soon enough become a funerary wreath soon enough.
The Nacis second contradiction is that they need direct government intervention to beat the commies, but they can't because that would make them commies. America has made the very idea of governance seem communist and a bit gay, which makes them ungovernable. All the US government can do is give money away to rich people and hope that some invisible hand compels them to do something useful, which it doesn't, it's just giving everyone the finger while pocketing the difference. Sometimes government has to ‘just do it’ themselves, but private companies have trademarked the very phrase and you just can't. Even Naci dicktators can't do much directly, just raise tariffs on a spreadsheet. They can't even control interest rates cause that's run by a private banking cartel (the Fed is not, in fact, federal). America has been dismantling the very idea of government for decades and now they get what they wished for. The place is ungovernable and the people are helpless.
In 1986, America's patron Satan said, “The nine most terrifying words in the English language are “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” This has become a capitalist catechism, what I call Catechism-22. The basic idea is that governing itself is suspiciously communist. ‘Small government’ has been the animating principle of American politics since the 1980s and they haven't had an original idea since. They just keep reanimating Reagan in different forms, and he was just a phony spokesman in the first place.
Remember that every US President since 1980 has been a pale Reagan impersonator, including Reagan himself. From senile Reagan to venal Reagan now, it's all Reagan, all the way down. Like the astronaut from Ohio said, always has been. America was always by the money, for the money, and everything else was just marketing. At the beginning, rich people thought they should keep their money from the king using ‘the people’, and now they want to keep their money from the people using a king. Americans pretend like they follow a leader, but America has always followed the money. This does not really connect to anything but I'm keeping it because the lines are good.
To return to the party line, Catechism-22 states that governing itself is communist and quite possibly gay. You want to have as small a government as possible, small enough to drown in a bathtub as Grover Norquist said. The catch is that America needs, nay, requires government programs to beat the communists, but they can't do it because that would make them fucking communists! As the book Catch-22 goes, “Yossarian was moved very deeply by the absolute simplicity of this clause of Catch-22 and let out a respectful whistle. “That’s some catch, that Catch-22,” he observed. “It’s the best there is,” Doc Daneeka agreed.”
The Catch-22 of the book was that you had to stop flying bombing runs if you were crazy, but if you wanted to stop those suicidal raids you were obviously not crazy and had to do it. Catechism-22 is that America has to do government programs to beat the commies, but if they want to do government programs they are commies and have to beat themselves up over it.
Hence the venal Reagan, Donald Trump is caught in all sorts of contradictions. He wants to rebuild manufacturing without building a single factory. He wants to refine rare earths without building a single refinery. He wants to reorient the entire workforce, but without hiring people. Governments can actually just do things, but that idea has been trademarked by Nike and you just can't. All they can do is motivate rich people with money or poor people with poverty, psychological experiments on entire populations without consent or even a coherent theory. They do they worst and hope for the best and call this economics. Nacis can't do anything directly because that would imply a nation not run by capitalists, which isn't Nacism, which is the best ever, as mentioned.
The USA's ideological rigidity becomes its undoing just as it was for the USSR. It's not necessarily the content but being overly content that leads to ruin. As Isabella Weber said (in How China Escaped Shock Therapy),
In fact, we may observe a parallel between the idealization of the planned economy in Soviet Marxism, where the whole national economy was imagined to function as one centrally planned factory, and the idealization of a market economy underlying the shock therapy approach. While the two theoretical approaches oppose one another on the question of the superiority of a plan or a market as a regulating mechanism, they are united in striving for an optimal, rational economy.
China, on the other hand, learned the opposite lesson from the collapse of the USSR. They learned that they had to change, and they had to learn, from whatever source. So at the same time America was rolling and smoking its laurels, China was working hard at ‘reform and opening up’, using Marxism as a living science instead of a dying dogma. As Xi Jinping said at Karl Marx's 200th birthday party,
Approaching scientific theories requires a scientific attitude. Engels once made the profound point that, “Marx’s whole way of thinking is not so much a doctrine as a method. It provides not so much readymade dogmas, as aids to further investigation and the method for such investigation.” Engels also noted that theories “[are] a historical product, which at different times assumes very different forms and, therewith, very different contents.” The basic principles of scientific socialism cannot be discarded; once discarded it would cease to be socialism. Likewise, scientific socialism is not an immutable dogma. I once said that China’s great social transformation is not a masterplate from which we simply continue our history and culture, nor a pattern from which we mechanically apply the ideas of classic Marxist authors, nor a reprint of the practice of socialism in other countries, nor a duplicate of modernization from abroad. There is no orthodox, immutable version of socialism. It is only by closely linking the basic principles of scientific socialism with a country’s specific realities, history, cultural traditions, and contemporary needs, and by continually conducting inquiries and reviews in the practice of socialism, that a blueprint can become a bright reality.
The vitality of theory is in its continued innovation, and promoting the continued development of Marxism is the sacred duty of Chinese Communists. We need to be persistent in wielding Marxism to observe and decipher the world today and lead us through it, applying the lively and plentiful experiences drawn from contemporary China to drive the development of Marxism, and utilizing an extensive worldview to draw on the civilizational achievements of all of humankind. We need to be persistent in protecting our foundations while constantly innovating to continually outdo ourselves, and learning widely from the strengths of others to continually improve ourselves.
Personally, I have read a lot about China (and Weber's book a lot of times) to try and learn China's ‘masterplate’ to apply to my own basket case country (Sri Lanka). But as Xi said, it doesn't work like that. You cannot assume that there is some end state of development, unless you aspire to dénouement, and you cannot stop learning and adapting, unless you aspire to denial. Like the Buddha's path through misery, Marxism offers a path through history, but you have to walk it with your own feet and your eyes open to the endless changes around you. As Darwin didn't say, “It is not the strongest of the species that survives, nor the most intelligent that survives. It is the one that is most adaptable to change.”
Contradictions, in this sense, are not something to be avoided, but the very engine of adaptation, the polarity of power, what motivates a society to change along with its changing environment. Like pain, contradictions teach us about our environment and how to move away from what hurts and towards what's good. If you think you've eliminated contradictions you've just gone numb and your toes are about to start falling off. And if you think you've nothing to learn, especially from your enemies, you've already gone dumb and the fall has already begun.
How do you reason with such unreason? How do you logic such illogic? Nacism is a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside a fortune cookie which they daren't open cause it's Chinese. The National Capitalists could learn something from their mortal enemy, communism, but that would make them fucking commies, so they'd rather die stupid. The Nacis could learn from history, but they already declared an end to it, and cannot open a book they've already burned. All they can do is unload high-powered weaponry on children in a vain attempt to kill the future but the future, inshallah, comes. Nacism cannot resolve contradictions it doesn't admit with tools it will not use. So it goes the way of Nazism. To the historical dustbin, forsooth, but unfortunately not soon enough.
An interview with Donald Trump, 1987, using an AI cloned voice and his ghostwritten book, The Art of The Deal
Hello, I'm indi.ca and welcome to the first edition of Literal Book Talks, where I use demonic AI to talk to books. Today we're going to interview Donald Trump from 1987, as published in the book Art Of The Deal. But before we get to the unholy ghost, let's talk to his ghostwriter, Tony Schwartz.
indi.ca: So Tony, how much of this book did Donald write?
Schwartz: I seriously doubt that Trump has ever read a book straight through in his adult life.
indi.ca: So how much of this is Trump? How much is ‘true’? How much can we read into a book by a man who doesn't read?
Schwartz: I put lipstick on a pig. More than anyone else I have ever met, Trump has the ability to convince himself that whatever he is saying at any given moment is true, or sort of true, or at least ought to be true.
Trump has been written about a thousand ways from Sunday, but this fundamental aspect of who he is doesn’t seem to be fully understood. It’s implicit in a lot of what people write, but it’s never explicit—or, at least, I haven’t seen it. And that is that it’s impossible to keep him focussed on any topic, other than his own self-aggrandizement, for more than a few minutes, and even then...
indi.ca: Lol, OK. So understand that we're talking to a facsimile of a liar, not the actual spirit of Donald Trump, which was hocked to the devil long ago. So let's bring on our main guest and start the show.
Hello, Donald Trump 1987, as published in The Art Of The Deal and reincarnated through demonic AI. How's it hanging Ghost Trump?
Trump: You’re the greatest!
indi.ca: Thank you. Now, you're President of the United States. Who saw that coming? Well, maybe you did. For reference, here's you talking to Larry King in 1987.
Now here you are, the proverbial dog who caught the car. In order to interrogate you further, I've actually used this clip to clone your voice.
So, zombie Trump, now that your disensouled body has become President twice, what do you think of your predecessors?
Trump: I think of Jimmy Carter. After he lost the election to Ronald Reagan, Carter came to see me in my office. He told me he was seeking contributions to the Jimmy Carter Library. I asked how much he had in mind. And he said, “Donald, I would be very appreciative if you contributed five million dollars.”
I was dumbfounded. I didn’t even answer him.
But that experience also taught me something. Until then, I’d never understood how Jimmy Carter became president. The answer is that as poorly qualified as he was for the job, Jimmy Carter had the nerve, the guts, the balls, to ask for something extraordinary. That ability above all helped him get elected president. But then, of course, the American people caught on pretty quickly that Carter couldn’t do the job, and he lost in a landslide when he ran for reelection.
Ronald Reagan is another example. He is so smooth and so effective a performer that he completely won over the American people. Only now, nearly seven years later, are people beginning to question whether there’s anything beneath that smile.
indi.ca: How long do you think you'll get away with it?
Trump: You can’t con people, at least not for long. You can create excitement, you can do wonderful promotion and get all kinds of press, and you can throw in a little hyperbole. But if you don’t deliver the goods, people will eventually catch on.
indi.ca: Why are you even doing this? Someone in the comments said their dog actually caught a car once, it was a convertible and they jumped in. But then, of course, it had no idea what to do. I guess it was just exciting? Is it the same feeling for you?
Trump: The real excitement is playing the game. I don’t spend a lot of time worrying about what I should have done differently, or what’s going to happen next. If you ask me exactly what the deals I’m about to describe all add up to in the end, I’m not sure I have a very good answer. Except that I’ve had a very good time making them.
Why, everyone said to me, would I even consider this deal? For one reason only: I believed that, managed well, it had the potential to earn a ton of money.
indi.ca: Reading your book, it sounds like you have some obvious daddy issues. I remember when you first won the Presidency, you thanked your parents like it was a prize you won, like they'd approve of you from hell. For reference, I'd like to briefly introduce the ghost of Philip Larkin here, reading his famous poem, which I think applies to White people, but not cross-culturally.
They fuck you up, your mum and dad.
They may not mean to, but they do.
They fill you with the faults they had
And add some extra, just for you.
But they were fucked up in their turn
By fools in old-style hats and coats,
Who half the time were soppy-stern
And half at one another’s throats.
Man hands on misery to man.
It deepens like a coastal shelf.
Get out as early as you can,
And don’t have any kids yourself.
indi.ca: So, how fucked up is you Donald? How was your relationship with your father?
Trump: We had a relationship that was almost businesslike. I sometimes wonder if we’d have gotten along so well if I hadn’t been as business-oriented as I am.
indi.ca: But your father basically drove your brother to drink and death right? What happened to Fredo Trumpeon?
Trump: My older brother, Freddy, the first son, had perhaps the hardest time in our family. My father is a wonderful man, but he is also very much a business guy and strong and tough as hell. My brother was just the opposite. Handsome as could be, he loved parties and had a great, warm personality and a real zest for life. He didn’t have an enemy in the world. Naturally, my father very much wanted his oldest son in the business, but unfortunately, business just wasn’t for Freddy. He went to work with my father reluctantly, and he never had a feel for real estate. He wasn’t the kind of guy who could stand up to a killer contractor or negotiate with a rough supplier. Because my father was so strong, there were inevitably confrontations between the two of them. In most cases, Freddy came out on the short end.
indi.ca: Yeah, so Fredo quit to become an airline pilot which he seemed to enjoy, but your dad made fun of him and the working class in general by calling him a bus driver, dismissively. Fred's daughter Mary was largely cut out of the will. And, incidentally, before your current national fraud, the amount you inherited, if invested in index funds would have made you as wealthy as all your running around. Anyways, Mary, who said your dad, whose name was actually Frederick Christ Trump, was a real piece of work. She said that this anti-Christ “dismantled [her dad] by devaluing and degrading every aspect of his personality.” What did you do while this was going on?
Trump: I can remember saying to him, even though I was eight years younger, “Come on, Freddy, what are you doing? You’re wasting your time.” I regret now that I ever said that.
indi.ca: OK, spare me the psychoanalysis, actually. That actually seems to benefit psychos. I'm sure your dad would be proud. You're both dicks. What do you even know about the world to try running it?
Trump: When I’m in another city and I take a cab, I’ll always make it a point to ask the cabdriver questions. I ask and I ask and I ask, until I begin to get a gut feeling about something. And that’s when I make a decision. I have learned much more from conducting my own random surveys than I could ever have learned from the greatest of consulting firms.
I also had a good time when I went out at night, I was working. I met a lot of very successful, very wealthy men at Le Club. I was learning how the New York scene operates and I was meeting the sort of people with whom I’d eventually work on deals. I also met the sort of wealthy people, particularly Europeans and South Americans, who eventually bought the most expensive apartments in Trump Tower and Trump Plaza.
indi.ca: So are these rich people your point of reference for the international economy?
Trump: The cycles of buyers at Trump Tower became something of a barometer of what was going on in the international economy. At first, the big buyers were the Arabs, when oil prices were going through the roof. Then, of course, oil prices fell and the Arabs went home. In 1981, we got a sudden wave of buyers from France. I wasn’t sure why, but then I realized the reason was that François Mitterrand had been elected president, and anyone smart and wealthy realized immediately that Mitterrand was going to hurt the French economy. It wasn’t just that he was a socialist.
After the European cycle, we got the South Americans and the Mexicans, when the dollar was weak and their economies still seemed fairly strong. Then, when inflation set in, their currencies were devalued, and their governments tried to restrict the outflow of cash, that cycle ended.
indi.ca: So what you're doing now is ending what Ray Dalio would call a supercycle, which affects American finance bros. In the 1980s, did you see those guys coming up?
Trump: During the past several years, we’ve had two new groups buying. One is American—specifically, Wall Street types, brokers and investment bankers who’ve made instant fortunes during the bull market frenzy.
indi.ca: As a real estate guy, what do you think of these finance guys?
It’s ridiculous, when you think about it. You get stockbrokers, barely twenty-five years old, who suddenly earn $600,000 a year because clients they’ve never met call up and say, “I’ll take fifty thousand shares of General Motors.” The broker pushes a button on a computer and, presto, he’s got a huge commission. As soon as the stock market falls out—which it will, because it too runs in cycles—most of these guys will be out on the street looking for work.
indi.ca: As a politician you're complaining about China cheating America, but this has always been your basic idea of foreign policy. Your policy has always been that foreigners are ripping America off. So what did you have to say in the 80s, about other Asians?
Trump: I have great respect for what the Japanese have done with their economy, but for my money they are often very difficult to do business with. For starters, they come in to see you in groups of six or eight or even twelve, and so you’ve got to convince all of them to make any given deal. You may succeed with one or two or three, but it’s far harder to convince all twelve. In addition, they rarely smile and they are so serious that they don’t make doing business fun. Fortunately, they have a lot of money to spend, and they seem to like real estate. What’s unfortunate is that for decades now they have become wealthier in large measure by screwing the United States with a self-serving trade policy that our political leaders have never been able to fully understand or counteract.
indi.ca: Yes, so this is the same thing you blame the Chinese for now. As Pink Floyd said, all in all, it's just another chink in the wall.
Anyways, with decelerating trade and accelerating genocide you're really changing the face of the world. Reading your old stuff it's surprising how much your beliefs and practices are actually very consistent, I think people are just surprised that you're actually doing it. Can you explain your plan?
Trump: I never had a master plan. I just got fed up one day and decided to do something about it. The most important influence on me growing up was my father. I learned, get in, get it done, get it done right, and get out.
indi.ca: So what does getting out mean? From the outside, it looks like you're dump-and-pumping the whole US economy. Aren't you running the country like a casino?
Trump: I like the casino business. I like the scale, which is huge, I like the glamour, and most of all, I like the cash flow. If you know what you are doing and you run your operation reasonably well, you can make a very nice profit. If you run it very well, you can make a ton of money.
I’ve never had any great moral problems with gambling because most of the objections seem hypocritical to me. The New York Stock Exchange happens to be the biggest casino in the world. The only thing that makes it different from the average casino is that the players dress in blue pinstripe suits and carry leather briefcases. If you allow people to gamble in the stock market, where more money is made and lost than in all the casinos of the world put together, I see nothing terribly different about permitting people to bet on blackjack or craps or roulette.
indi.ca: What about all the lawyer politicians and politcal committees and political consultants trying to stop you?
Trump: I don’t like lawyers. I think all they do is delay deals, instead of making deals, and every answer they give you is no, and they are always looking to settle instead of fight. Roy Cohn said he agreed with me. I liked that and so then I said, “I’m just not built that way. I’d rather fight than fold, because as soon as you fold once, you get the reputation of being a folder.”
To me, committees are what insecure people create in order to put off making hard decisions. I like consultants even less than I like committees. When it comes to making a smart decision, the most distinguished planning committee working with the highest-priced consultants doesn’t hold a candle to a group of guys with a reasonable amount of common sense and their own money on the line.
indi.ca: What about your sinking approval ratings?
Trump: You can probably guess how much stock I put in polls.
indi.ca: Aren't you making things more complicated? For example, you're trying to negotiate over 180 trade deals separately, including with penguins, who are notoriously fishy. However, the World Trade Organization exists, and gave America plenty of control for decades. Why are you over-complicating things?
Trump: I have an almost perverse attraction to complicated deals, partly because they tend to be more interesting, but also because it is more likely you can get a good price on a difficult deal. That’s just my makeup. I fight when I feel I’m getting screwed, even if it’s costly and difficult and highly risky.
indi.ca: Who are people even supposed to be negotiating with?
If you’re going to make a deal of any significance, you have to go to the top. You’re better off dealing with a total killer with real passion. When he says no, sometimes you can talk him out of it. You rant and you rave, and he rants and raves back, and you end up making a deal. But when a machine says no, it’s very tough.
indi.ca: Besides trade, you're also continuing the American genocide of Palestine. How is that a good deal?
My original plan was very straightforward. We’d let the tenants know that we intended to eventually demolish the building. Then we’d offer them help in finding suitable new apartments, as well as cash incentives to move.
indi.ca: So Hamas, being heroes, actually refused huge cash offers to give up their land and people. How would describe 'Israel's' terror campaign in response?
It happens to be very easy to vacate a building if, like so many landlords, you don’t mind being a bad guy. When these landlords buy buildings they intend to vacate, they use corporate names that are difficult to trace. Then they hire thugs to come in with sledgehammers and smash up the boiler, rip out the stairways, and create floods by cutting holes in pipes. They import truckloads of junkies, prostitutes, and thieves and move them into vacant apartments to terrorize holdout tenants.
That’s what I call harassment.
indi.ca: Despite all the child killing and mass starvation, you're losing. As Henry Kissinger said, the guerrilla army wins by not losing, and Hamas and Ansarallah and Hezbollah have taken massive damage, but they have not lost. Same for the one free state in the region, Iran. Meanwhile conventional armies in Russia are winning by winning, and China, as the meme goes, does nothing and wins. Everywhere people stand up to you, you fold. How does that work?
Trump: Bullies may act tough, but they’re really closet cowards. The only people bullies push around are the ones they know they can beat. Confront a strong, competent person, and he’ll fight back harder than ever. Confront a bully, and in most cases he’ll fold like a deck of cards.
indi.ca: What are you even doing in Ukraine? You seem to be cutting them down and then expecting them to negotiate with even less leverage?
Trump: I know from my own experience that the only way to get even the best contractor to finish a job on time and on budget is to lean on him very, very hard. You can get any job done through sheer force of will.
indi.ca: You're also shitting on erstwhile allies like occupied Europe? Why?
Trump: Sometimes, part of making a deal is denigrating your competition.
indi.ca: Yes, this comes up in Art Of The Deal a lot, you seem to negotiate by trashing the thing you want to buy, or making it worse. Like when you were trying to buy the land for Trump Tower, or the Commodore Hotel, you seemed to publicly push existing projects to failure before buying them.
Trump: If you want to buy something, it’s obviously in your best interest to convince the seller that what he’s got isn’t worth very much.
indi.ca: In terms of press, your attitude also doesn't seem to have changed. I mean, why fix it if it's not broken.
Trump: I’m a businessman, and I learned a lesson from experience: good publicity is preferable to bad, but from a bottom-line perspective, bad publicity is sometimes better than no publicity at all. Controversy, in short, sells.
One thing I’ve learned about the press is that they’re always hungry for a good story, and the more sensational the better. It’s in the nature of the job, and I understand that. The point is that if you are a little different, or a little outrageous, or if you do things that are bold or controversial, the press is going to write about you.
I’m not saying that they necessarily like me. Sometimes they write positively, and sometimes they write negatively. But from a pure business point of view, the benefits of being written about have far outweighed the drawbacks.
indi.ca: So, before we put this genie back in the bottle, what's next for the world?
Trump: Fortunately, I don’t know the answer, because if I did, that would take half the fun out of it. This much I do know: it won’t be the same.
indi.ca: And finally, finally, what does it profit you to do all this and lose your own soul?
Trump: I enjoy Mar-a-Lago almost in spite of myself. It may be as close to paradise as I’m going to get.
I was playing Bananagrams with a British guy and he said someone's got to take over the world after America and I said why? Just because there have been multiple reincarnations of White Empire doesn't mean we can't have multiple civilizations like the rest of history. Even the idea of China replacing America as hegemon is an American idea that needs replacing. The idea that someone must sit astride history yelling stop, like Francis Fukuyama did. If you read China directly, they just don't think like this and never did. Anyways, the guy beat me at Bananagrams. Stupid English language.
China had better naval technology for a naval empire in the 1600s and just didn't. China came to Sri Lanka, gave us stuff, and then fucked off because they weren't interested. Maintaining a naval empire was a pain in the ass and expensive and they didn't need it. Broke-ass Europe, however, was already a pain in the ass to itself, and needed new places to extort for the solar energy (leading to racism, if you'd like a digression). It's important to remember Europeans were looking for India and China. Because that's where the wealth was. We weren't looking for them, nor were we colonizing each other. The world is simply returning to this mean, which cruel Europeans still cannot conceive. Just minding your own damn business.
As Zhou Bo (Tsinghua University) said in a recent interview (shout out Karl Sanchez for his great and diverse sourcing),
Zhou Bo: if you simply define the "world order" as a so-called "liberal international order", it is actually a kind of historical myopia. Because if you really look at it that way, it's a bit like living in a Francis Fukuyama-esque world – the world where "history ends."
Geraldine: So you mean, it's actually a Western-imposed worldview, right?
Zhou Bo: Yes, the so-called "liberal international order" only looked like that at best, during the period when the Soviet Union collapsed and China had not yet fully emerged. But if you really believe in that order, it's easy to fall into narcissism; as soon as you find that you are no longer strong, you will start looking for "enemies". This is actually very dangerous. But if you believe that this world order is a collection of civilizations, then you ask yourself: How do I coexist with others? Yes, the so-called "liberal international order" only looked like that at best, during the period when the Soviet Union collapsed and China had not yet fully emerged. But if you really believe in that order, it's easy to fall into narcissism; as soon as you find that you are no longer strong, you will start looking for "enemies". This is actually very dangerous. But if you believe that this world order is a collection of civilizations, then you ask yourself: How do I coexist with others?
His Australian interlocutors simply could not get this. Some dude named Hamish said, “China wants to be a major global power, so why not exert influence in its relationship with Russia to bring about an end to the war in Ukraine?” Zhou responded “That's because you're looking at this issue from a European perspective. And when China looks at this relationship, it must first look at it from a bilateral perspective.” Zhou went onto relate Russia's very real security concerns about NATO, going back to the end of history, but the Australians are still stuck there. They don't know when to begin. So the ham-fisted Hamish said, “I don't think we can resolve this difference of opinion in this episode,” because they simply cannot understand differences of opinion. They think everyone must be like them or they're just wrong. As Zhou said, it's “easy to fall into narcissism,” and westerners are literally drowning in their own reflection.
I was talking to someone else in the comments here and they said China, Russia, and Iran are autocracies where people can't speak freely. This dissection of the world into democracies and autocracies was always nastily narcissistic (they hate us for our freedom) and now it's just nasty. There's a whole-ass genocide going on, and you want me to believe people talking out their asses? As a great Iraqi said, if Satan came and was fighting America I would be with Satan, because America is the Great Satan! I can travel to China, Russia, and Iran freely, but would be arrested in America (I'm a big Hamas supporter). Just note that supporting the resistance against genocide is banned in the West, whereas the group is not proscribed in most of the world. That's free speech for you, on the most important subject that matters.
Westerners think they know other countries because they hear their names a lot, but they rarely (if ever) read them directly. Their self-aggrandizing and propagandizing media constantly repeats names and memes about other countries and never lets other people speak for themselves. They're really just sniffing their own brain farts and, as the saying goes, he who smelt it dealt it. Westerners casually deny the most basic pre-condition for conversation, which is respect. They don't even talk to the rest of the world, they just talk about.
If you treat China, Russia, and Iran as civilizations—that is, with civility—you can actually learn something. Vladimir Putin and Ayatollah Ali Khamenei are historical figures with deep historical knowledge, they're worth engaging with especially if you consider them enemies. Once you do engage with them, it's hard not to respect them and you definitely learn something, these are philosopher kings compared to the sound-bite simpletons that pass for western leaders. Westerners talk about free speech, but these ‘autocratic’ leaders have given their people the most basic condition for free speech, which is freedom from western domination. Westerners are so narcissistic that they only want to see mirrors, and are deeply confused and angered when they see other faces, saying other things. They want to smash such things, and call the wreckage Freedom™.
China, which we'll focus on here, has a much wider range and depth of discussion than the West. There's huge debate within guardrails, but what westerners don't get is that they have guardrails also. The range of platformed perspectives in the West is actually much smaller, with the bullshit just heaped taller. Americans talk about left and right, which is a joke. Their 'left' is hard right anywhere else in the world.
Returning to China, Reading The China Dream ‘maps’ the intellectual environment into Liberals, New Left (ie Marxists), and New Confucians. This itself is a simplification, but it's already much more diverse than what passes for western thought. The Western debate is all within liberalism (who should we bomb, never should we bomb). The whole culture suffers from a deep historical myopia which confuses repeating the same shit over and over with debate and discussion. You cannot even discuss Marx without unexplaining all the propaganda against him, and he's just a philosopher. You cannot even start a conversation with these people because, again, basic respect is missing.
I was once invited for an interview with an Australian radio station and after talking to me for a minute they were like ‘you're not a Marxist, are you?’ I was like, ‘no, I'm a Buddhist, but I've read Marx,’ and that was too much for them. I was uninvited. Westerners don't understand how deeply self-censored their corporate media is. It's just privatized propaganda. The Overton Window of acceptable debate within the West is actually very small. As Noam Chomsky said, “The smart way to keep people passive and obedient is to strictly limit the spectrum of acceptable opinion, but allow very lively debate within that spectrum – even encourage the more critical and dissident views. That gives people the sense that there’s free thinking going on, while all the time the presuppositions of the system are being reinforced by the limits put on the range of the debate.”
Just today, however, I saw a child's hand hanging from a window, where 'Israeli' (re: American) bombs had flung it. We can effectively say that the Overton Window is closed, and people are being openly defenestrated (myself included). Now people are being told that they have to accept and even support genocide, and they always were. And yet actually civilized people must still explain themselves to settler-colonizers, like Australians, who are merely more successful 'Israelis'.
Take, for example, this conversation:
Hamish: So why are Chinese Navy ships circumnavigating Australia? What is the purpose of this? How do we interpret this behavior?
Zhou Bo: Then I should probably remind you why your warships sail so close to China's coastline? And why did your military planes invade the airspace of the Paracel Islands? That's China's airspace. And you've not done this once or twice, but many times.
Hamish: But our official position is that we're ensuring freedom of navigation in international trade lanes. There is a difference between the two.
China is expected to explain itself, but the ‘official position’ of White Empire (Australia is not a real country) is expected to be self-explanatory. As Bush's brain Karl Rove said, “We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality – judiciously, as you will – we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors… and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do.”
This was honestly evil when he said it (in 2004), back when America controlled global navigation, was the world's #1 trading partner, and could command and conquer. But now it's just evil, both wrong and wrong. America today is a vanishing minority of ship building, an astonishing majority of shit-stirring, and cannot control the Red Sea, never mind the South China Sea. Hence Zhou can turn the imperial language back on itself, inquiring politely about the empire's new clothes, or lack thereof.
Zhou Bo: I mean, our ships are also conducting "freedom of navigation" operations around Australia.
Hamish: And what's the purpose?
Zhou Bo: First of all, it's the high seas, and we have the right to sail. There is no international regulation that prohibits us from doing that. In fact, the question should be to ask you: Why did you cross the Taiwan Strait? What are you passing through there for? You don't really have much real trade through there, do you? One-third of your trade is with Chinese mainland, and warships don't need to cross the Taiwan Strait to transport these goods.
Hamish: So you mean, the interpretation that we should get from this is, "You don't do this to us"?
Zhou Bo: I don't think the Chinese government has ever expressed its views in this way, but international law does allow us to do so. But if you can ask yourself, I think that's good for you.
Hamish: (laughs) So let's end here, shall we?
As you can see, the Australians have to keep ending conversations because they're fundamentally incapable of starting them at all. They cannot approach other civilizations with respect at all. Every civilization should either be trying to be like White Empire or they're wrong, and must explain themselves, endlessly, because Empire cannot actually listen and is just looking for an excuse to hit you. The Tears For Fears song goes everybody wants to rule the world, but this is false. Everybody doesn't. Most of the world just wants to be left alone, to fight with our neighbors and family perhaps, but not to get involved in every conflict everywhere all at once. Who has the bandwidth for this? Only these bandits who couldn't stand each other in Europe.
Simply existing where you are is a strange concept for people with a deep ‘white hole’ at the center of their unsettled colonial souls. This is nonetheless normal and the world is simply returning to the pre-colonial mean, though the cruelty only seems to increase at the end. They leave us a ruined world, literally getting hellishly hot while they incinerate the future, ie children. But the base layer of reality persists underneath, and increasingly on top. As Zhou Bo said, in conclusion, To put it simply, “I believe that the current international order is not fundamentally different from the past: it has always been a collection of different countries, different social systems, different national identities, different cultures, and most importantly, different civilizations.” To westerners who can only understand our rhythm and blues through white interlocutors, let me put it even more simply. “Let it be.” If you stop asking stupid fucking questions and listen to the world struggling to be free, “There will be an answer, Let it be.”
Read Karl Sanchez, generally.
People ask if I've heard the latest thing Donald Trump has said, and my sincere response is, who gives a shit? Not the person who said it, so why should the one who read it? They say whatever they want to say, and change it the next day. We're supposed to hang on every word, like links on a chain. I just don't anymore, and neither do the people they're negotiating with. Unlike and smash unsubscribe.
China's MFA spokesman after 'Liberation Day'
China are serious people. When Trump tried to go tit-for-tat they just gave him one slap and left it at that. China raised tariffs once and said, “if the United States continues to impose tariffs on Chinese exports to the United States, China will ignore it.” They diplomatically dropped the microphone, and haven't returned Trump's phone calls asking for a phone call since. China said, “Even if the United States continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer have economic significance and will become a joke in the history of the world economy.” This unusually salty talk from usually staid diplomats. That's how done they are with this bullshit. China produces rare earths while America produces brain farts, who do you think is winning a trade war? The people that trade or the people that tirade? Pick your fighter.
Russia are also serious people. When Trump tried to end a war that started over a decade ago in 24 hours they just didn't, because they're winning on their own terms. Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said, “We take the Americans’ proposed models and solutions very seriously, but we also cannot accept them as is… Russia cannot accept U.S. proposals to end the war in Ukraine in their current form because they do not solve the problems Moscow considers the cause of the conflict.” Talks go on, but the fighting goes on'er, and Ukraine's a goner the longer it goes on like this. Trump is publicly grumping and dumping Ukraine, throwing a monkey wrench into any leverage (we'll get to this). Again, who do you think will win a hot war? The reincarnated Red Army or the deindustrialized West, who can print all the money in the world, but can't buy a clue?
Iran are also serious people. They have serious missiles that can incinerate America's Persian Gulf bases without nukes, by the American military's own admission. America is trying to run their Path To Persia war plan from 2009, which is just nuking the old WMD lie in the media microwave and hope nobody notices. Since we first saw WMD I ago, Iran has advanced everything but the nuke, and proved it in True Promise I, II, and III. Even what passes for serious minds within the Pentagon know that war with Iran would mean losing oil, bases, and just losing, as much as 'Israel' tries to mind control them.
Iran is ready to defend itself, whatever the cost, and simply do not accept Trump as boss of anything except pulling Netanyahu's chair out. Ayatollah Khamenei is an old hand and knows that the Americans are not to be trusted, leaving nothing but broken treaties behind them (just ask the Actual Americans). Khamenei said, “One must not negotiate with a government like the US government,” and though the steadfast President Raisi is gone, the Iranians are still not morons. Who do you think will win a Holy War over their own holy land? Those reduced to bombing refugee camps and hospitals, or those defending them?
All of these countries are serious people with serious capabilities that America just ignores because they're thousands of kilometers from their home and have no skin in the game. America uses proxies like prophylactics and throws them in the historical dustbin. The great innovation of America as head of White Empire is figuring out that there's more money in losing wars than winning them. As Vladimir Putin said, “For centuries they have nurtured a habit of feasting on flesh and filling their pockets with money. But they must realize that the 'vampire's ball' has come to an end.”
The traditional imperial, vampirical strategy is divide and conquer, and tactically it's still working. They have pit Chinese vs. Chinese in Taiwan, Slav vs. Slav in Ukraine, and Semite vs Semite in Palestine. These tactics might work in isolation, but in combination, it leads to strategic defeat. As former Secretary of State Zbigniew Brzezinski wrote in 1997, “Potentially, the most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Russia, and perhaps Iran, an “antihegemonic” coalition united not by ideology but by complementary grievances.” An already old Joe Biden mocked this at the time, but who's laughing now? The nations they used to bully have bulked up, and they're pretty fucking aggrieved.
Today China, Russia, and Iran have superior military technology than America (quantity is its own quantity), especially given home field advantage (defender wins a tie). Combined they're unbeatable, though they haven't Voltroned yet. But get them angry enough and we'll see.
Each of these countries have hypersonic missiles that air defenses cannot stop while America throws avionic fits against defenceless children. Against men in the field, drones in the air, and missiles in the sky, America loses. This is proven. Yemen has got them on the ropes, and Iran, Russia, and China are each an order of magnitude stronger than the one before them. It's 10x, 100x, 1000x difficulty, and America can't get past round one. This goes unheralded but it's historic. Brave Yemen has defeated the top naval empire ever in the Red Sea. They are truly Top-Gs, fighting genocide for the side, Allah surely is pleased.
Home field advantage is huge in warfare. How you fare is very much where you are. In Risk, defender wins a tie because defending is mathematically easier. Remember that Iran, Russia, and China don't have to be stronger than America overall, they just have to be stronger than America in Iran, Russia, and China. Meanwhile America has to be stronger everywhere. America also has to divide (and supply) its forces across two oceans and a sea. And they already lost control of the sea!
Remember that China, Russia, and Iran are defending their own soil, while America offends only the conscience and soils themselves in public. America can destroy hospitals but not Hamas, Ukraine but not Russia, and civilians but not Ansarallah. Remember that Hamas, underneath a concentration camp, has fought the entire White Empire to a draw. This is a historic moment, buried by the histrionics media, but nonetheless true. Hamas defeated 'Israel' on October 7th. The non-entity has been on death support ever since. The IOF have been reduced to delivery boys for American bombs, like DoorDash for knocking houses down.
Deep grievances have thrown deep civilizations together and America is in deep kimchi, as John Mearsheimer says (I don't understand what this means). Now China, Russia, and Iran are conducting military exercises together while America is bent out of shape fighting them all at once. To compare World War III to World War II, China is in the position of America (profiting from afar), Russia is the position of the USSR (fighting the actual war), Iran doesn't fit this analogy, and America are the fucking Nazis—fighting everyone, and wasting time on genocide for some reason. The common wisdom is never start a land war in Asia, and America has started three. As Joe Biden said, which I also don't understand (old white man slang), ‘good luck in your Senior year.’
Trump talks about leverage like it's a beverage, something he can summon with a button to the Oval Office desk, like a Diet Coke. You can see why the guy is cooked. American leverage is more like Trump's arteries, clogged by years of bad decisions.
Archimedes said give me a lever big enough, and I'll open this pickle urn (he was talking to his wife). The point of a lever is leverage, you have to have more on your side of the stick than the other side. Zelensky wasn't dick the moment he cancelled elections, but Trump has cancelled the petty dictator in public. Trump threw away the toy soldier, mocking him for not wearing a suit. But that was his empty suit, now Trump can't even pretend to like the guy. He threw away his leverage. He did worse when he cut off intelligence and weapons, however briefly. He blinked before negotiations even started and conceded immediately.
It's not even clear that Trump has read The Art Of The Deal, but its writer Tony Schwartz said, “The worst thing you can possibly do in a deal is seem desperate to make it. That makes the other guy smell blood, and then you’re dead. The best thing you can do is deal from strength, and leverage is the biggest strength you can have. Leverage is having something the other guy wants. Or better yet, needs. Or best of all, simply can’t do without.” Does Trump listen to advice, even his own? No, but he never stops talking shit.
Trump promised America a Ukraine deal in 24 hours, reducing his leverage to a ledge which he promptly walked off, like Wile-E Coyote followed by an anvil. The Pottery Barn Rule is ‘you broke it, you bought it’ and Trump's owns the Ukraine War now. It's a loser and he knows it. The longer Russia waits, the worse Ukraine's position gets, and Trump obviously can't wait to be done with them. This makes him desperate, which is the opposite of leverage. Trump can't get Ukraine or Europe to agree on a deal, nevermind the Russians. He has no leverage and people just aren't listening to him.
Trump is not a serious person, he sent a fucking Real Estate agent to negotiate World War III. That's all Steve Witkoff is, a random real estate guy, made Trump's personal envoy. Yet even this dilettante can understand, you don't get détente by shitting on the house you're listing. Like, this is a real fixer-upper, half-occupied by a neo-Nazi gang I gave a lot of guns to, and I cut the lights off periodically. $1 trillion dollars. This is “a joke in the history of the world” as China said. Possession is nine-tenths of the law, and Russia is just ignoring America and taking possession of more oblasts. “Ob-la-di, ob-la-da, Life goes on, brah” as the Ja-fake-en Beatles said. Or as Notorious BIG said, “real niggas do real things.”
In the same way, what leverage does Trump have against China? China has been slowly been building a Belt and Road around America for over a decade, becoming the world's top trading partner by cooperation, not coercion. Feeling jealous, the American economy tried killing itself for attention and experienced every suicide attemptors worst nightmare. Everybody actually does hate them.
Investors don't actually care if a policy is good or evil, they'll incinerate children to gas their yacht up. They don't even care if policy impoverishes their own people, they're not people, just capital personified. Investors just care if a policy is predictable, and Trump is a very unstable genius. Everyone was having a great time at the USD Casino, built on an Indian graveyard, but trust Donald Trump to bankrupt a casino. They said it wasn't possible, but he did it.
Archimedes real quote was, “Give me a place to stand and with a lever I will move the whole world,” and America has lost all faith and standing. To stand with Trump is to stand on shifting sands, upon shifting continents, depending on a deeply shifty character who's sifting through your pockets and sniffing your daughter. Besides lack of leverage, Trump doesn't have a stable fulcrum. He's always going off half-cocked, and changes his mind constantly, depending on who's next to him. Even if you wanted to negotiate with Trump, which Trump? What side of the bed did he wake up on? How were his bowel movements?
The fulcrum that leverage stands upon is trust—do words mean anything and do signatures matter—and Trump has rolled that up and smoked it like a blunt. How many documents and treaties has he wiped his ass with, like every Non-Native American before him? Presidents before him threw out the Minsk Accords, none of them took Oslo seriously, and America itself is unceded land, Trump has thrown out the Iran deal and now the WTO and WHO and whatever other acronyms he could think of. America has no diplomatic standing left, just grandstanding.
Today, the delta between American words and deeds is so wide that it might as well be the Mississippi River. And this isn't just Trump. Democrats and Republicans are just the good-cop/bad-cop of the same police state. Always remember that Biden deported more than Trump, killed more than Trump in Gaza, and killed more of his own people with COVID.
Liberals would love to be Biden time, feeling fine while doing crime, but I'm done with both sides of the lying mouth. Trump at least accelerates American decline, which is a blessing in disguise. The sooner America goes down the better,
America is not bipartisan so much as bipolar, and the multipolar world is increasingly done with them. Even nations nuclear bound to America can't negotiate with Trump, he's just too disorganized and dumb.
I know people would like to isolate the problem to Trump, but America itself is isolated and problematic. They're up shit creek without a paddle and all the babbling in the world won't bail them out. As Teddy Roosevelt said, back when US Presidents killed what they ate, talk softly and carry a big stick. America today talks loudly and carries a limp dick. The POTUS is impotent. He can only bomb hospitals while the Empire itself is on hospice. He can only hype meme coins as the master currency collapses. He can only pretend to negotiate while collapse is nonnegotiable. It is, in fact, safe to ignore what America says, as enraging as it is. The greatest American asset crash is this. Talk is cheap.
Americans are currently experiencing something entirely foreign to them. Consequences. As a confused person from CNBC already noticed, “Stocks are down, the dollar is down, and bond yields are higher. This is incredibly odd for the US.” As someone who has lived through total economic collapse in Sri Lanka, yes, that's how it works. Your economy totally collapses. The newsletter also said, “This is the uncomfortable position developing markets can often face in a crisis,” and also yes, America is a rapidly undeveloping country. Get used to it.
As I said back when Sri Lanka crashed,
Sri Lanka is just the canary in the coal mine. We followed neoliberal economics in the 1980s just like you did. We settled for cheap consumer goods instead of producing things. We covered up our trade deficits with loans, and by the 2010s we were using one credit card to pay off another.
Collapse on the periphery of White Empire and collapse within is one process. When it reached America was just a timing difference. As I continued,
If you sit in judgment of Sri Lanka you’re really missing the point. Don’t you use dollars and petrol and liberal democracy too? Aren’t they feeling shaky to you? As Warren Buffett said, “when the tide is out you see who’s swimming naked.” Sri Lanka was certainly swimming naked, but as any Sri Lankan can tell you, if the tide suddenly rushes out, that means a tsunami's about to come. A money-print swimsuit might cover America’s nakedness for now, but it won’t protect you from the flood. As someone who’s already been swept away, let me warn you as only a ghost can.
Boo!
The fact is that, on paper, America is a more shambolic economy than Sri Lanka's. As I said, “America has a worse debt to GDP ratio than Sri Lanka. Everybody is levered up the ass, betting on a future that will not come to pass.”
Now it looks like American elites have decided (through some combination of stupidity and malice) to control demolish themselves as a center of world trade. This has started America's Greatest Depression, preceded by a short gilded age for insider traders. It's the end of the world as Americans know it and, as REM said, I feel fine. Or a twice condemned man said to another at the gallows, first time?
The proximate trigger is for the Greatest Depression is tariffs, one of the few tools a President fully controls on his own, besides all the actual triggers. The Federal Reserve is not part of the federal government (it's a private banking cartel), and Congress technically holds the purse strings. Tariffs are the only trigger a President can pull all on his own, and Trump is trigger-happy to use them. He's holding the whole world up in a murder-suicide pact, unless they buy more Teslas or something.
This obviously isn't working, but the latest explanation is that tariffs will allow America to replace income taxes for people making less than $150,000. I'll indulge this because it's hilarious. You know who else collects taxes this way? Sri Lanka.
I have often called Sri Lanka a kade (shop) with a port attached. We tax everything coming in (tariffs) and effectively double tax everything being sold (VAT, excise) and that's our revenue model. People barely pay income taxes at all. This tax policy retards both consumption and production, because exports also require imports. This is not a good tax policy. It doesn't work.
Now, however, we see America barrelling down the same dead end we just died in, as we try to turn around. It doesn't even make sense. Why are they trying to be like us? Sri Lanka is still colonized by western capital and we did whatever we could to keep the lights on. But America is western capital. They don't need to do this. We would keep sending them our work and resources and they can give us magical paper in return. They don't have to tariff us to death, they're just killing their own golden goose. But for reasons we'll discuss, here we are.
America is becoming a poor country like Sri Lanka by attacking poor countries like Sri Lanka. Trump thought he could eat the developing world, but someone should tell him, you are what you eat. Sri Lanka vomited up its economy, and America is about to hurl out its hegemony.
When Sri Lanka's economy collapsed, the first thing I noticed coming up was the currency. It rapidly depreciated from 200 to the dollar to 350, a 75% increase (from our perspective). People's savings were nuked and prices still haven't recovered.
In the same way, America's currency is depreciating now (relative to its vassals) and barely appreciating against its debt slaves and enemies. The currency is burping much less than Sri Lanka's, but this is a much bigger problem. The US dollar is a reserving currency and people are supposed to flock to it during a crisis. Instead, it's going sideways or down. The problem is not the magnitude. This isn't supposed to happen at all.
Besides going against history, this is also going against the future whole plan. I know it's surprising that there is a plan, but in 2024 current adviser Stephen Miran published A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System, which we have covered previously. Trump is following it as much as he follows anything. Miran's plan at least makes predictions, which we can at least check posthumously.
Miran's plan said that tariffs would pay for themselves because they'll damage foreign currencies more. He said, “the economic and market consequences of tariffs hinge on the extent to which they are matched by offsetting changes in currencies.” The idea is that if you tariff country X at 10%, their currency depreciates by 10%, and the US importer would actually save money. Because the US dollar would be stronger, and everyone else would be weakened. Miran's thesis was that, “tariffs are ultimately financed by the tariffed nation, whose real purchasing power and wealth decline.” Now, however, the feces has hit the fan and the opposite has happened.
The US dollar has depreciated against its vassals (measured through DXY) and has barely appreciated against people like China and Sri Lanka (which got tariffed the most). For us two, there's been barely 1% currency movement against 50-150% tariffs, which offsets nothing. Of course, Sri Lanka's tariffs are currently suspended down to 10% and China's have been largely circumvented because Trump caved, but nothing like Miran predicted has happened. The math doesn't math because the mathematicians are mendacious morons, telling a mad king what he wants to hear, which is madness.
US bonds, also, are not supposed to move like this. They are in fact moving like Sri Lanka's bonds during our collapse, ie junk nobody trust and which the government has to pay a premium for.
When Sri Lanka defaulted, bond prices went down, because there was no demand for broken promises. That meant yields had to go up, to attract new bondholders. So yields went up to 30%, while bond prices (the tradable value) went down. Bond prices move inversely to yields. That's basically a rule.
Not a rule, but a rule of thumb, is that bond prices generally move opposite to stock prices. If stocks are risky, people retreat into safe bonds. Because Sri Lanka's economy had totally collapsed, however, all bets were off.
In Sri Lanka's collapsed state, stocks and bonds went down together (starting in January 2022) and recovered together (starting in June 2023). Stocks and bonds are supposed to move inverse to each other, but in these perverse conditions, they move together. This is what happens in a total economic collapse. This is what's happening to America today, while they're dazed and confused. ‘What are we, a bunch of ASIANS?’
Like USD depreciation, stocks and bonds both crashing is not supposed to happen at all. It's one of the horsemen of the financial fuckupalypse. As our CNBC newsletter says,
Go back to the financial crisis, to Covid, to anytime there's a whiff of panic about a slowing economy and what do you see? Stocks are down, yes, but the dollar shoots higher as global investors pile into safe havens, and U.S. Treasury yields drop sharply. This reaction can be helpful--it cushions the economic blow. Lower Treasury yields mean falling mortgage rates, falling borrowing rates, and so forth. A stronger dollar gives U.S. consumers more purchasing power, so imported goods are cheaper. But now, we're not getting that.
Americans are used to every crisis being an opportunity (for the country), but this is just a crisis. Let's look at stocks and then bonds, and see how it's all gone wrong.
The S&P 500 (as an index of American stocks) is going to shit, so investors should be fleeing to safer bonds (thus lowering their yield, because high demand). But that's not what's happening.
Bond yields are going up, which means there's less demand. This inverts the usual relationship described by C. Broadus in 1993 when he described stock market wobbles. He said, “Gs up, hoes down while you motherfuckers bounce to this.” Gilts are supposed to go up when stock holdings go down. But that's not what's happening here. The whole thing is going to the dog pound.
And this isn't even the Chinese weaponize their treasuries, it's the Japanese stabbing their masters in the back. Anecdotally, it's the Japanese dumping. Even the most vassalized, atomized allies don't trust the US treasury. They're voting with their money and just fucking off. As Shakespeare's famous stage directions read, “Exit, pursued by a bear [market].”
So where's all this capital going, if it's not safe in the capital of capitalism? One clue is again behavior of Sri Lankans, or just Asians in general. Asians buy gold all the time, but especially when they're stressed. The default investment thesis is ‘what can I fit on my wife and flee for my life with.’ Now even professional investors are acting like Asian aunties before their daughter's wedding. They're stacking up on gold and keeping it close.
Gold prices are going up now, but physical gold was flying from January. Huge amounts of physical gold was airlifted to New York before the crisis hit, meaning that the smart money knew what was coming. Physical gold storage today is at higher than during the COVID collapse (still happening btw), meaning the sphincter of global capital is clenching tight. The big banks are not content with paper claims on gold, they want physical gold and they want it on site.
I'm not saying the world is going back to the gold standard, none of this is investment advice. All I'm saying is that the world economy is getting real very fast, and people have stopped being polite. For a long time, China and the smartest money has been stocking up on physical resources in general—gold, silver, grain, oil—things you can hold on to when matters get out of hand. With Trump completely out of pocket, perhaps now you understand.
The era of fiat currency that replaced the gold standard is over. The dollar was only backed by the faith and credit of America, and both have been toasted. Americans, in addition to being evil, have become unpredictable. Investors can forgive the genocide and the wars, but threatening their money is unforgivable. Today America as a vehicle for all your hopes and dreams is looking like a plain old Fiat, not that big, not that safe, and full of clowns.
As I've elaborated in my Great Idiot Theory, material conditions create probabilities for change, while great men and great idiots create the volatility. In Sri Lanka, for example, our economy was structurally fucked since we neoliberalized in the 80s, but it wasn't until a Great Idiot did a few random things in the 2020s that it all went crazy.
Before the crash, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa had a few bad ideas (cutting already meagre income tax and banning chemical fertilizer quickly) which had big, disproportionate effects. These ideas certainly weren't as bad as the neoliberal ideology of decades, but they spooked the markets (with some help from spooks) and caused cascading capital flight. That's all it takes for a market crash. Just a few dumb stomps and you get a stampede.
In the same way, America's current President is stomping around like a literal bull in a China shop, and capital is fleeing. What I call the Greatest Depression has already begun, with the spark lit by a historical arsonist who'll likely profit from the fall. And that's really the question you should really be asking, cui bono? Who benefits?
Historically, America does not care if countries collapse and in fact enjoys it. Chaos is a ladder, and as a reserve currency, they're at the top. When countries like Sri Lanka collapse, capital rushes back into safe USDs and USTs and they suck up resources and slaves for pennies on the dollar. Every crisis is an opportunity if you're an opportunist. America is full of what southerners called ‘carpetbaggers,’ now paired with carpet-bombers for good measure.
Historically, America also does not care about Americans. Remember that America was founded by the property, for the property, everything else is just marketing. America is run by a malevolent AI called Capital, with human shareholders as interchangeable parts. The American economy has never been about the greater good and is always down for a little cannibalism. If there's some incentive to blow things up, they love a little controlled demolition. Which may be what's happening now.
If the American economy goes down slowly, there's just a lot of money to be lost. If it goes down quickly, however, there's a lot of money to be made. On just the whipsaw movements of the last few weeks, people made millions if not billions of dollars. As Trump proudly said in the Oval Office after the first big crash, “He made $2.5 billion today, and he made $900 million.” He literally pointed the crony capitalists out, they don't give a fuck.
Trump has perfected an entirely new form of financial fraud, the dump-and-pump. They dumped the whole US economy and then pumped it with a tweet, to make a quick buck. What Nancy Pelosi made in decades of insider trading, he'll make in one term. Never underestimate the motivation of greed. It's what America was founded on.
As someone who has lived through a total collapse, I can tell you how it played out for us. We had two years of unelected government where they stole as much as possible, with the IMF making sure foreign crooks got their taste first. I saw the rich somehow get much richer while the poor suffered and starved. This seems to be the modus operandi for capitalist crashes, and the POTUS is a known operator. Donald Trump has crashed multiple businesses over the years and come out ahead, why not crash a whole country, or the global economy while you're at it?
When Sri Lanka finally had an election we elected a nominally socialist government, which is still doing much the same things, because our freedom is so limited and unwon. But I don't think America can vote their way out of this, and I hope they don't. In fact, I hope America crashes so completely that it just disappears as an entity, an identity, and as an enemy that holds deaths and debt over everyone. Sri Lanka's debt payments resume in 2028… unless the people we owe money to disappear first.
Japan seppuku'd its economy once at their master's command, but now even the must loyal vassals cannot hear their master's voice nor discern his plan. The Japan trade delegation walked out of the Oval Office, hat in hand. There is no deal to be had with America because there is no one to deal with. Trump is like a dog who caught a car. He doesn't know what the fuck to do with it.
When I'm being chased by dogs, I sometimes stop and ask, “what do you want? WTF do you want? have you thought this through?” Invariably, the dog doesn't know. And so I just keep going as the dog barks, receding into the distance. This is what the world is going to do with Trump, not because it doesn't want to negotiate, but because America itself doesn't have a clue.
As Robert E. Kelly, professor in occupied Korea, said, “A trade deal w/ a major economy is a complicated project; US deal w/ mid-sized economy S Korea took 17 months to work out. W/ Japan or EU, it will [be] even longer.” Even with states that already have a gun to their head, it still takes years to negotiate details. Trump now has to negotiate trade deals with 185 entities across the world, some of them populated only by penguins, because who the fuck made this spreadsheet?
Japan got a 50-minute meeting with the President, but such high-level meetings are supposed to be the end of a long process, not the beginning. Agreements are usually worked out long before the signatories sit down and so, predictably, Japan left with nothing but souvenirs and chagrin. Trump's team proudly says people are ‘calling for meetings’, but this isn't telemarketing for time-shares, there's no great value in gathering ‘leads’. These are people that were already doing business with you, until you stopped them. It's like me unplugging the Internet router and crowing that I'm suddenly really popular among my family.
Dutiful nations—which still fear liberation—are dolefully showing up for meetings without agendas and getting nothing because there's nothing to be had. As former Assistant Secretary of War Chas Freeman said, “the Japanese said 'well, what is it that you want?' And the Americans could not explain what they wanted.” Where do you go with this? It's like being held up by a guy with no coherent demands. What do you want? My wallet, my watch, directions? Talk to me man!
More to the point, nobody even knows who they're supposed to negotiate with. The President directly, his commerce secretary who spends more time on TV, is his son-in-law still around, should we buy his meme coin? Besides the lack of clarity on what America is saying, it's unclear what side of their mouth they're talking out of on any given day.
As Qian Jing of the Asia Society Policy Institute said, (via SCMP),
Chinese elites are finding the current US messaging a little "disorientating" due to "confusing" communication with the Trump 2.0 team, said Qian Jing, co-founder and managing director of the Centre for China Analysis at the Asia Society Policy Institute.
"For example, there have been about five different [private] channels in the past 10 days engaging with Chinese officials, and all seem to be somehow carrying different messages," Qian said during a panel discussion held by the Asia Society in Hong Kong on Tuesday.
Even within the White House, there's massive confusion as to who's doing what, and with what authority. Major decisions seem to depend on who's physically next to the Orange King at any given point, able to get him to post on social media. As the Wall Street Journal reported,
On April 9, financial markets were going haywire. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick wanted President Trump to put a pause on his aggressive global tariff plan. But there was a big obstacle: Peter Navarro...
So that morning, when Navarro was scheduled to meet with economic adviser Kevin Hassett in a different part of the White House, Bessent and Lutnick made their move, according to multiple people familiar with the intervention. They rushed to the Oval Office to see Trump and propose a pause on some of the tariffs—without Navarro there to argue or push back. They knew they had a tight window. The meeting with Bessent and Lutnick wasn’t on Trump’s schedule.
The two men convinced Trump of the strategy to pause some of the tariffs and to announce it immediately to calm the markets. They stayed until Trump tapped out a Truth Social post, which surprised Navarro, according to one of the people familiar with the episode. Bessent and press secretary Karoline Leavitt almost immediately went to the cameras outside the White House to make a public announcement.
This is like courtiers getting access to the king in the toilet, then rushing out with some proclamation before anyone else can trip them. I'd say things have degenerated, but Joe Biden invisibly quit the election over Twitter, the place has been going down the shitter for a while now.
In this shituation, proximity with the king is what matters, so all 185 affected territories need to negotiate with Trump directly, which is troubling because he little to no attention span for anything. As his blood-money ghostwriter Tony Schwartz has said,
Trump has been written about a thousand ways from Sunday, but this fundamental aspect of who he is doesn’t seem to be fully understood. It’s implicit in a lot of what people write, but it’s never explicit—or, at least, I haven’t seen it. And that is that it’s impossible to keep him focussed on any topic, other than his own self-aggrandizement, for more than a few minutes, and even then... If he had to be briefed on a crisis in the Situation Room, it’s impossible to imagine him paying attention over a long period of time.
How the fuck is this guy going to sustain trade negotiations over the months and years that's required? If only there was an organization for coordinating world trade, like a world trade organization or something. Nevermind. Trump hasn't blown up US trade policy to replace it with something, he's just blown it up for the insider trades we make along the way.
A politburo full of crazies like this just leads to complete bureaucrazy. Simpleton spreadsheets spread out into complex chaos. Can you imagine being a customs agent right now? You don't know the rules you're supposed to enforce from minute to minute. Are you supposed to listen to your boss, or watch TV for your boss's boss? The system simply isn't built to turn globally shipping on a dime like this. In fact, US Customs actually seized up and briefly stopped collected some tariffs at all. Trump said “We're making a fortune with tariffs. $2 billion a day. Do you believe it?” and the answer was “no,” resoundingly. As Business Insider reported,
Data from US Customs and Border Protections shows that the actual tariff revenue is just a small fraction of what Trump said it is. A spokesperson for CBP told Business Insider that the agency has so far collected $500 million from Trump's broad round of tariffs that went into place on April 5.
And in total, the agency said it has brought in $21 billion in tariff-related revenue through its enforcement of 15 presidential actions since Trump took office nearly three months ago. That works out to a little under $250 million a day over the 86 days since January 20.
It's not just the CBP's data that doesn't match up with Trump's numbers.
The Treasury Department's daily deposit totals for "Customs and Certain Excise Taxes" reported over the seven weekdays since April 5 averages out to $227 million per day. The department's month-to-date total as of Tuesday is around $2.3 billion and its year-to-date total for the fiscal year that started in October is about $55.5 billion.
As Jarred Varanelli, vice president of U.S. sales at logistics firm Savino Del Bene, told CNBC (via), “There has been some confusion on what President Trump has said in social media posts on when the tariff starts and what is written in the executive order. Social media posts are not law on the pause and increase in tariffs. With the constant changes to the regulations, all customs brokers in our industry have a difficult task ahead of them.”
That's putting it lightly. People don't realistically know what they're going to pay until they physically receive the goods. It's like Schrödinger's shipping container, you don't know if your business is dead or alive until you open it. In response to this wild uncertainty, DHL America has simply stopped importing any B2C goods worth more than $800, from anywhere at all. DHL simply cannot operate in this environment.
It's not even the amount of tariffs, it's the uncertainty that's gumming up the works. And it's not just DHL. US shipping is down across the board.
Overall US imports are down 64% and exports are down 30% (roughly matching the China drop). Even though Trump has backtracked and exempted a huge number of Chinese goods, the damage is done. If you ship something now, he's highly likely to change his mind while it's coming over. Rather than becoming the workshop of the world again (which requires inputs) America is just closing up shop with a sign that says ‘Gone Fishing.’ They're reeling countries into negotiate, but then throwing them back because they have no idea what to do with them.
This external collapse is reflected in internal trucking data also. Industry analyst (and cucked Trump voter) Craig Fuller reports that, “Based on trucking volume data, freight markets with large exposure to ag and oil/gas are doing well since the trade war started. Freight markets serving retail and manufacturing are struggling, with heavy manufacturing getting completely obliterated.” America is becoming what they ignorantly accused Russia of being, a subsistence gas station with nukes.
Trump tried to seize world trade, but instead he's just given his own economy a grand mal seizure. This is why the Chinese call him “川建国 (Chuan Jianguo) which literally means that he builds China with his self-defeating policies — [or] 懂王” (Dong Wang) which means “king of understanding”, a satirical take on his “know-it-all” persona.” As Miley Cyrus sang, “I came in like a wrecking ball, All I wanted was to break your walls, All you ever did was wreck me.”
You could say this drop in trade hurts China also, and it does, but China isn't simultaneously fighting everyone else on Earth. They also have the strategic depth of having a strategy at all. When China goes in for meetings they don't have to negotiate anything, they just say ‘shall we be normal?’ and people agree. Nobody wins in a trade war, as China has said repeatedly, but unlike America, they are not their own worst enemy.
Tomi Lahren's weird gun-carry yoga pants were made in China
American talking heads have talked about ‘uniting the world against China’ but they're talking out their asses while kissing Trump's pasty. ‘Uniting’ requires some level of organization, not just untying trade agreements and leaving a business card at the crime scene. America has just issued a ransom note with no coherent demands. They're just spitballing here. Trump's economic moron Stephen Miran offered a “few ideas”, which include 1) shut up and take it 2) let us make it 3) buy the guns to hold yourself up with 4) move to America 5) just send money.
I mean, OK, how much? Are countries supposed to trade with the US and then write them a check for the entire trade surplus, ie work for nothing? How do we even communicate capitulation, do we just bribe everyone in the privy council, and hope someone catches Trump in a good mood? Even if most of the world wanted to join America in a crusade against most of the world's top trading partner, who do they call? The President directly? And what do they do? Buy an F-16, shine his shoes? Nobody even knows, least of all the Americans. The Americans are rebels against the economic system they built, and rebels without a clue.
As the hero of The Dark Knight told the two-faced liberal he confused, “Do I really look like a guy with a plan? You know what I am? I'm a dog chasing cars. I wouldn't know what to do with one if I caught it, you know, I just do things.” Trump just does things. In this case, crashing multiple ships into America as a center of world trade to see where the pieces fall. So, honestly, shout-out to Abu Donald, destroying the Great Satan from within, pissing on the rug and chewing up furniture. I, for one, am here for it. Good dog.
I'm glad to see America burn largely because they're burning Gaza. I've adopted this fundraiser for Muhammad and his family there. If you're able, support them, a loan to God is surely an investment in you.
I try to intelligently analyze White Empire as best I can, but something irks me. What if there is no plan? What if they're just stupid? What if the simplest answer is that they're just simpletons? What if they're just cutting coke with Occam's Razor, and licking the blade with wild abandon? At this time, a Great Man Theory (GMT) of history won't do, we need a Great Idiot Theory (GIT).
Great Man Theory comes from a series of lectures by Thomas Carlyle from 1840, called On Heroes. It's an erudite, expansive work, covering everyone from the Prophet Muhammad to Shakespeare to Napoleon Bonaparte. Most people reduce Carlyle to out of context quotes (in the context of reduced attention spans), and I'm afraid I'm no exception. For our purposes, Carlyle said, “Universal History, the history of what man has accomplished in this world, is at bottom the History of the Great Men who have worked here.” I would amend just one word. Great Men might mark the top of history, but the bottom is just morons.
Carlyle addresses this. In his section on kings and kingslayers, Carlyle posited a difference between the ‘Ablest Man’ and the ‘Unablest Man’, each emerging cyclically throughout history. As the modern airport novel wisdom goes, “Hard times create strong men, strong men create good times, good times create weak men, and weak men create hard times.” Carlyle seems to talk about the American Devolution today, when he talks about the French Revolution of yore,
This is the history of all rebellions, French Revolutions, social explosions in ancient or modern times. You have put the too Unable Man at the head of affairs! The too ignoble, unvaliant, fatuous man. You have forgotten that there is any rule, or natural necessity whatever, of putting the Able Man there. Brick must lie on brick as it may and can. Unable Simulacrum of Ability, quack, in a word, must adjust himself with quack, in all manner of administration of human things;—which accordingly lie unadministered, fermenting into unmeasured masses of failure, of indigent misery: in the outward, and in the inward or spiritual, miserable millions stretch out the hand for their due supply, and it is not there.
The ‘ignoble, unvaliant, fatuous man,’ an administration of quacks, ‘fermenting into unmeasured masses of failure.’ Does this not describe the current situation in parallax? Trump is a revolutionary in the sense of turning things over, and French in the sense that nothing good comes of it. There's an English saying, cometh the hour, cometh the man, but at this late hour, who's answering the call but morons and charlatans? As Yeats said, “The best lack all conviction, while the worst are full of passionate intensity.” There's also a Chinese saying, 时势造英雄, “the times create their heroes,” but what does this mean in a time of decline? The times also create their zeroes, who drive the ‘miserable millions’ down accordingly.
One critique of GMT comes from Karl Marx, who said, “how absurd is the conception of history held hitherto, which neglects the real relationships and confines itself to high-sounding dramas of princes and states.” Marx describes his alternative, historical materialism, saying,
History is nothing but the succession of the separate generations, each of which exploits the materials, the capital funds, the productive forces handed down to it by all preceding generations, and thus, on the one hand, continues the traditional activity in completely changed circumstances and, on the other, modifies the old circumstances with a completely changed activity. This can be speculatively distorted so that later history is made the goal of earlier history, e.g. the goal ascribed to the discovery of America is to further the eruption of the French Revolution. Thereby history receives its own special aims and becomes “a person rating with other persons” (to wit: “Self-Consciousness, Criticism, the Unique,” etc.), while what is designated with the words “destiny,” “goal,” “germ,” or “idea” of earlier history is nothing more than an abstraction formed from later history, from the active influence which earlier history exercises on later history.
History is thus a palimpsest (a manuscript rubbed out and rewritten), and the medium is the message (as McLuhan said). Personally I have noticed this as America being evil now (something I only recently noticed) reveals that America was always evil (to my shame). I can feel the palimpsest being scrubbed out and overwritten in my brain, though I still can't spell the word for the life of me. It's yet such a delightful and descriptive word that I can't refrain.
Describing historical materialism, Marx says, “It shows that circumstances make men just as much as men make circumstances.” But then, aren't we back where we started? Cometh the man, cometh the hour, only reversing the order. Greater (or lesser) men will always rise (or fall) to the occasion, their personalities providing a violent volatility around the general arc of history. History creates a certain probability for change, but only personality tells us what shape it will take.
Marx views history through production changes and class struggle. Thus feudal production systems produced barons, just as capitalist production produces robber barons. That is, a certain production system leads to the reproduction of certain morons, leading to high drama of princes and states, or CEOs and corporations. In both cases, once you gather enough grain or GDP to sustain an insane inbred population, they do insane inebriated things.
Pre-industrial European history was largely a bunch of inbred morons doing inane things, culminating Queen Victoria's grandchildren fighting over their toys (World War I) and smashing everything. There were very few, very incestuous, people making very stupid decisions and chaos ensued. Sound familiar?
Production based on land reproduced landed nobility. In the same way, production based on capital reproduces capitalists. Trump, for example, is a second generation capitalist. He inherited $40 million from his father and could have been just as rich passively investing it. Today, most billionaires are produced this way, through inheritance rather than entrepreneurship. This new class of inherited capitalist holds the same investments, goes to the same schools, wears the same watches, and rapes the same children. A production system of widespread machines has turned into a reproduction system of insular morons.
Today the 50 richest Americans hold nearly as much wealth as the bottom 50%. Just a few families control America, and they all know each other. Given that wealth is legally speech in America these people can buy both sides of the 2% spread that divides elections and continue the party, whatever the party. Duopoly is even better than monopoly because it gives you plausible deniability. As Julius Nyerere said, “The United States is also a one-party state, but with typical American extravagance, they have two of them.”
Just as bankers and the merchant class displaced European nobility, cash is king in America. American politicians are not public but private servants, they're answerable to the ‘donor class’, because America has legalized bribery. Western politicians are just hired hands, accountable to rich shareholders, not poor voters. Very few people behind the scenes actually run the White Empire, and they're hardly people. Marx called them “capital personified and endowed with consciousness and a will.” This private jet-set is the new unlanded ignobility.
In this way material conditions lead us to the “high-sounding dramas of princes and states” all over again. The reproduction and concentration of capital leads to the reproduction and concentration of capitalists, becoming successively more moronic over degenerating generations. Thus we end up back in the age of mad kings doing mad tings, only under different production systems.
Thus the question is not really what Trump produces but what produces a Trump. What system would elevate such an “ignoble, unvaliant, fatuous man” to power? What leads to “forgetting that there is any rule, or natural necessity whatever, of putting the Able Man there”? It is, in fact, an unable system that calls out for an unable man, to represent it. As Aimé Césaire said, “a civilization which is morally diseased, which irresistibly, progressing from one consequence to another, one denial to another, calls for its Hitler, I mean its punishment.”
Even more pointless than looking for intelligence in this stupidity is looking for morality, but let's do it, because I think evil and stupid are the same thing, just with a timing difference. If you look at any moral advice it is really just good advice, in the long run. Evil is stupid in the long run, especially if you consider the hereafter (though in the meantime it can be fun). If you cheat in business, you're less likely to be trusted, you make your own life harder. If you cheat on your wife, you have a more stressful life, you wreck your own home. Of course, people ‘get away’ with cheating all the time, but how far do they get, and how often do they fall? Doing evil is simply more risky in the long-run, AKA stupid, especially considering the hereafter, as you should.
In this way, colonialism was always stupid in the long run, a global minority trying to cheat and steal from the global majority was always going to go Global South at some point. There's simply more of us, and technology moves around. While they did get away with colonialism for centuries, that was just a blink of the historical eye, and that eye is opening. Climate collapse, Palestinian liberation, Chinese independence, these are all part of the same reckoning. When Trump responds to this with traditional western racism, it appears stupid, but remember that everything Trump is doing was once conventional wisdom.
As Ernest Renan from the no-good French said (via Césaire), “The regeneration of the inferior or degenerate races by the superior races is part of the providential order of things for humanity... Nature has made a race of workers, the Chinese race, who have wonderful manual dexterity and almost no sense of honor; govern them with justice, levying from them, in return for the blessing of such a government, an ample allowance for the conquering race, and they will be satisfied.” Trump is called a moron for trying to extort the Chinese today, but it was (and is) common continental sentiment to treat the this way.
Césaire introduced this Renan saying, “Who is speaking? I am ashamed to say it: it is the Western humanist, the “idealist” philosopher... “Hitler? Rosenberg? No, Renan.” White people blame racism on their ignorant poors, but this ideology was written by their elites long before. Modern racists are simply regurgitating the blood meal of past centuries. People say Trump can't do this, but no less than Immanuel Kant says that he should. Kant said, “the race of the whites contains all talents and motives in itself” (so tariff everybody else into oblivion).
Even though Trump's ghostwriter Tony Schwartz said, “I seriously doubt that Trump has ever read a book straight through in his adult life,” Trump nonetheless channels the id of imperialist thought unconsciously. As John Maynard Keynes said, “Practical men who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back.” In this way, Trump is simply distilling the jist of western thought, which is that the west is the best and everybody else can eat shit. Trump's frenzy really expresses the whole of western philosophy, which claims the whole category of philosophy, and deports everything else to departments on the periphery.
But Trump comes too late to avert his fate. While fate might lead the willing (re: Seneca) it drags the unwilling, and Trump is dragging America to the fate it deserves more rapidly than intended. This is one of those moments when a Great Idiot takes the reins of a probable decline and yanks it downwards into a certainty. As Césaire said. “At the end of capitalism, which is eager to outlive its day, there is Hitler. At the end of formal humanism and philosophic renunciation, there is Hitler.” You can sense that America is eager to outlive its day, having voted for the man twice. And so they go out in the traditional American white man way, murder-suicide of the whole family.
Trump is the heir to an inheritance that's already been spent. He's the hair combed over a baldness that's already apparent. He's the last furious attempt to simply eat the palimpsest of history before it's overwritten by present rebellions. White Empire was always evil but only now does it appear stupid, as it's ending. Evil is just stupid in the long run and this is the long run. As Frank Sinatra sang, send in the clowns, don't bother, they're here.
This week was Sinhala and Tamil New Year. What I call Avurudu and what my wife calls Puthandu is an ancient holiday, older than our mostly divergent cultures, based on an astrological chart that goes back to the Babylonians, at least. The holiday is so old that the Earth has noticeably wobbled and the astrological charts no longer match the astronomy. But we still use them, and still do the same things. The traditions tell you what color to wear, what direction to face, and exactly what time to do it. New Year, like the very concept of a year itself, is a Maui'ian act. Capturing the sun, and fitting it into a cultural cognition, then sustaining this hallucination over generations. We still go through the motions, even though we barely know what it means. This is the nature of cultural cognition. We think therefore we be.
When I studied cognitive science decades ago at McGill, they were hyper-focused on individual cognition. I took an entire course on the Philosophy of Self, and we never seriously discussed the possibility that the self just didn't exist. My Philosophy of Science teacher, Mario Bunge, asked me what India had ever contributed to the world which stumped me, being neither Indian nor thus educated. All I knew was the western world, which was actually 500 years behind on many subjects (literally, it's currently 2569 in the Buddhist calendar).
Western philosophy arbitrarily draws the (time) line a few hundred years back (the Enwhitenment) and a racist line across Asia (Europe). There are more people studying obscure quirks of Kant than the entire rest of the world in most (western) philosophy departments, so much is the bias towards the faux continent. Western philosophy also arbitrarily draws the line around an individual, trying to explain lots of things through the brain and DNA, when human cognition is much wider than that. It's really happening at the human level, because we are social animals.
I'm not saying that we didn't study social cognition in school (as an elective), but the required courses started with classical condition. These were endless experiments on tortured, isolated rats and the theory built upon that. These were scared, isolated individuals, separated from their rat families and cultures, and tortured with lights, sounds, and intermittent electrocution and drowning. These are the rats that press a lever endlessly for cocaine, something rats in functional rat communities won't do. Sound familiar? The rat races I studied were like the rat race I was expected to enter into. Canada is a settler colony (like America) and this produces deeply unsettled people, divorced from whatever culture they came from and thrown into consumer culture, which is deeply unsatisfying by design. They give economics Nobel Prizes under psychology because economics is just the art of mass experimentation on human populations, without consent or ethics.
Of course, the field of psychology was changing on a yearly basis while I was there and has surely changed more in the decades since. But I have noticed that a lot of western psychology (studies say) backtracks to ‘eastern’ insights like ‘maybe having grandparents around is good for children’ or ‘perhaps we should improve society, somewhat.’ However, I think it's very hard to live this way, because the philosophical foundation is incorrect. Again, there was no proof that there even was a self in my Philosophy Of Self class, yet every other class was based on that assumption. Everything about western psychology is based on there being an individual psyche and there kinda isn't. The Buddhist insight is that there's an illusion of one, but that this fritters away the moment you seriously look at the back of your eyelids. You can try this yourself, it's not a particular hard experiment.
Western philosophy and psychology and pharmacology is based on this fairly obvious illusion, building castles in the sand. I say obvious because one or two generations back a lot of my Indic family barely has individual names, every name is literally relative, we were (and are) still such social animals. Yet the lab rats of colonialism are shipped far away from all that, thrown into cage-like cities, and given name tags that must be worn at all time, like Driver's Licenses and Passports. This is profoundly alienating and the therapy they give you to make you feel human doesn't really work, because it acts on neither the social nor the animal but an imaginary individual that is none of the above.
Most of western psychology is still what drugs you take and what your DNA is and what happened to you and how to be your best self, AKA you, you, you. This sounds much worse if you say me, me, me, but that's what it is, isn't it? Besides being self-indulgent, such an approach is self-defeating. There is no there there. Attachment to the self leads to suffering, as any religion or folk story will tell you. In the Buddhist view, there are three fetters that keep us suffering, self-view, skeptical indecision, and clinging to rites and rituals. Western psychology is basically founded on the three fetters though, hey, at least the drugs are good.
I'm not saying that ‘eastern’ philosophy is going to save you. I've seen too many westerners take up yoga as a substitute for whatever addiction and just become more insufferable assholes. I've seen too many companies use ‘mindfulness’ meditation to make people into better mindless workers. I'm also not saying that ‘eastern’ people are happier, we're crazy too and ‘westernized’ in ways we now consider eastern. What I am saying is that western psychology is deeply tied up with western culture, whether it acknowledges it or not. And that culture is capitalist alienation and colonization, which is evil. And, at a very deep level, that does not feel good. Hence depression.
For whatever reason, after four years of studying cognitive science my brain was a mess and I was pretty depressed. I often struggled with depression when I lived in America and then Canada, for reasons I couldn't express and which no one could explain to me, no matter how much we paid them. In hindsight, I think I was experiencing what the late, great Mark Fisher called the privatization of stress. Before he sadly (for us) killed himself. In Capitalist Realism, Fisher said,
Instead of treating it as incumbent on individuals to resolve their own psychological distress, instead, that is, of accepting the vast privatization of stress that has taken place over the last thirty years, we need to ask: how has it become acceptable that so many people, and especially so many young people, are ill? The ‘mental health plague’ in capitalist societies would suggest that, instead of being the only social system that works, capitalism is inherently dysfunctional, and that the cost of it appearing to work is very high.
I didn't think about it at the time, but I wasn't in a very different situation from those rats we studied. Hell, I even participated in psychological experiments for 20 bucks here and there, that's where a lot of this data comes from. A lot of psychological research is done like this, on alienated, possibly inebriated college students separated from all family and culture in a space you literally have to pay to enter, ie capitalism. They use a bit of light meditation to get you pliable, but that's about the extent of any cross-cultural relevance. Such studies might give you some very narrow insight (though few studies replicate), but they tell you nothing about the wider cultural cage they themselves are embedded in. I could feel this in some way I couldn't articulate. As the Smashing Pumpkins said, despite all my rage, I am still just a rat in a cage.
After university I confused all my relatives, left Canada, abandoned my US Green Card, and returned to a place I hadn't lived since I was five. Sri Lanka. I laid around being depressed for a year before my cousin introduced me to some people and I circulated and gradually became acculturated. I've been here for 20 years now and I rarely feel depressed anymore. Sometimes I feel really stressed, or really sad, but it's rarely a private stress or a private sadness. My burdens are shared, and my joys also. Even right now I can barely concentrate because there are five kids outside my door, only two of whom I'm related to. I have been desperately sad and grievously wounded, but never alone in this. Indeed, these were often pains I felt through other people. At these times, I often tell myself better outside problems than inside. I can deal with real problems, but unreal problems are often insurmountable.
As a third culture kid who returned to sender, I see people like me who didn't return and I wonder. I can see the struggle to hold an identity which inexorably dissolves into whiteness across generations. I can see the difficulty in separating from the hundreds of relatives we have here to form a small nuclear family somewhere else, then the explosion when they go off and form their own families, ie their own colonies. I also hear about the daily stress of figuring out when to wake up, what to eat, what to do, and how to do anything. A million podcasts have been launched from the fundamental lack of this cultural consciousness. Unlike traditions like Avurudu, which tell you what to wear, when to wake up, what to eat, and everything else, all of this must be recreated by each individual every day and it must be done the best, otherwise what are you doing? So many questions are dumped on a completely inadequate science which have been answered in a good enough way by culture, which colonialism and capitalism insists that you abandon. This is the privatization of stress Fisher talked about, and it seems exhausting.
The general logic of the western, colonial world is that it's good to destroy religion, the family, and backwards culture, that this is precisely how you go forward in life. And that story is told through, essentially, edge cases. What if your religion oppresses you, your family abuses you, and your culture holds you back? And, indeed, religions can kill you, families can rape you, and demon dances don't cure many mental ailments. But these are the edge cases, these are the worst things that can happen in traditional societies, used to justify throwing out all traditions. But then you have the task of recreating a culture from scratch, and that also has edge cases, because to err is human, and now you kicked out any God that might forgive. It's just you reading a dozen books to figure out how to wean your baby, something your grandma would have told you if you hadn't moved 1,000 miles away. And if, God forbid, something happens, God could console you in a way Satanic statistics just won't do.
Capitalism killed God to replace Them with goods, displaced the family to replace them with coworkers, and neutered culture to make it a commodity. This enabled more people to colonize more land, but what does it do to the human heart? There's a White Hole at the heart of White Empire, a terrifying void where meaning is supposed to go, and it hurts. The fact is that liberalism genocides entire peoples, no workplace actually treats you like family (I remain unable to fire my cousins), and capitalist culture is the opposite of freedom, you literally have to pay for it.
In this new Disneyfied religion, old myths are repurposed to create a new one, that you need to bee yourself (Aladdin) and reject or ideally kill your parents (basically all of them). In the new families of choice, you're supposed to choose your own ‘tribe’ but then they leave because work or children, and it falls apart because you're not actually a family. With family I'm just close to people I have little in common with because I have no choice, but choosing and judging your ‘family’ all the time is exhausting. Even with the home and your own dome, you have to read a hundred studies and pay thousands of dollars to just make the correct breakfast, and you're always getting it wrong. It's a massive privatization of stress, alleviated only through periodic dopamine hits, like a rat pressing a lever for relief which never comes. As Paul Simon said, you get better but you never get well.
I think about this as Sri Lankans gather at the same time (nearly 5 AM this year) to eat the same meal (milk rice), facing the same direction, wearing the same colors. I say ‘think’ because it was too early this year and my family just slept in, as westernized heathens. But still, we ritually stay in the house while the Sun moves houses (because everything is closed) and then go out and greet people in the old village on a certain date, because that's what people do. The decisions are made for us, and this is an internal relief, though externally stressful. Avurudu is the hottest time of the year, when the Earth is most tilted towards the Sun. It's basically the worst time to be outside, but like northerners celebrating the shortest days (Christmas) to chase the blues away, it's what we do.
So we went back to the ancestral village to do ancestral things, where all the heat, noise, firecrackers, and stimulation promptly made my daughter explode. She was crying within five minutes and we had to go sit under a waterfall to avert core meltdown. But these cultural events are really a grand publicization of stress. You distribute your joys across the community, and your sorrows also. I don't want to say nationalization because this is older than nations or other such creations, like races or even religions. Sinhalese and Tamils don't celebrate too much together, but we do celebrate this somehow (shout-out Muslims, historically running the only shops that are open). Festival days are stressful to the modern mind, but to the premodern soul they distribute the load, across the culture, across the ancestors, across gods we barely remember but who are still looking out for us. I have strayed very far and yet I can still find ourself in the old village, which remains years behind but somehow 500 years ahead. So happy 2569 to you and yours. May it be blessed, destressed, and unalone.
If you haven't got it by now, the cruelty is the point. The disappearing white ladies and the enslaved hairdressers are not incidental, these are the teeth of the matter. The deported students and imprisoned researchers are not coincidental, this is the grinning face of America First, bared proudly to the world. These are the heads on pitchforks outside the gate, rotting in the hot sun of media coverage. They want you to watch, they want you to see, they want you to be appalled. None of this is an embarrassing failure to them, this is a successful advertising campaign, going viral through our disgust.
Remember that the point of torture and abuse is communicative, it's not about getting information out of a person, it's about getting information out to the population. It's about instigating fear in general, not investigating anything in particular.
Like Andrew Jackson, Trump is making an example of people, and he wants you to know. This is not some black mark in American history, it's just another proud billboard on Route 666, their own highway to hell. Like Jackson's Trail Of Tears, Donald Trump is not ashamed, a bloody trail is the message he wants to communicate. American borders have always been drawn in blood, a razor across the face of a free continent. The business of America has always been displacement and exploitation, and Trump, while a bad businessman, is an excellent marketer.
In raw numbers, Joe Biden actually deported more than Trump. But in terms of raw emotions, Trump has got them riled up. The heads on sticks and the bully pulpit is does the work many agents could not. When you watch plainclothes agents abducting Runeysa Ozturk (from Tufts) in broad daylight, you are not watching some brave expose, this is an advertising campaign, a flash mob intended to go viral. The viral fear does the work a thousand agents could not, other people self-censor, self-deport, and stay home. When ICE agents abducted Merwil Gutiérrez, knowing he was the ‘wrong’ guy but saying “Take him anyway,” this was not some fuck up. The cruelty is the point and the casual nature of it is the sword. This can't happen to everybody, but it could happen to anybody. So the people police themselves, in a way ten thousand police could not. And it's working.
While deportations are down, fewer people are choosing to come at all. Brave, brutalized people, driven into wage slavery by America's destruction of their homes, are not braving the brutalized border anymore. ‘Encounters’ by the jealous land thieves of ICE are notably down.
At the same time—and this is to Trump's credit—crossings from Europeans are also down. For a long time American immigration policy was black and white. It was OK for white people. But now that racist cut-out has been cut out. This is racist on racist violence and I, for one, am here for it. They're disappearing white ladies at the Canadian border, deporting Australians, Brits, people who thought they were citizens of the greater White Empire and who participated in its villainy. But dutiful vassalage no longer guarantees safe passage. They're catching white fish and tormenting them for months before cutting them free. Again the cruelty is the point, and the point to even people within the White Empire is, fuck you too.
Just as Hitler was the last honest European, Trump is the last honest American. Hitler's crime was “that he applied to Europe colonialist procedures” (re: Césaire), and Trump's crime is deporting Europeans. That's what gets reported on, though Obama was known as ‘deporter-in-chief’ and every US President ever had the same deportment. Liberals act like there's no precedent for this President, when Trump is just the office shorn of hypocrisy. As Hannah Arendt said (herself a racist, but nevermind), Trump just expresses the “growing prevalence of mob attitudes and convictions—which were actually the attitudes and convictions of the bourgeoisie cleansed of hypocrisy.”
I, for one, give a fuck about liberal tears. Liberal tears and conservative jeers are two sides of the same performative politics, like the tragedy and comedy masks of Greek theatre. One deports apologetically and the other deports apoplectically, but they're both deplorable. Democrats and Republicans just play the good cop/bad cop roles within the same police state. America was always built on genocide and land theft, slavery and servitude and this hasn't changed at all. They just changed names and kept slaving even more. They only change parties every few years to keep party going for centuries. It's all Epstein island, has been since Columbus.
Since America's founding, the President's job has always been pushing natives out but at the same time pulling racialized labor in. Hating Injuns and ‘niggers’ is not something the American poors came up with on their own, it's something the American property owners encouraged to A) create property and B) work it. Note that the people being pushed back from the southern border are more native Americans than white Americans drawing an imaginary line in the sand.
Managing the tension between hating your workers and exploiting them was always a delicate balance, the hypocritical hinge that American capitalism swung upon. America is a nation of horse thieves that must whip but not entirely spook the horses. Americans have to hate immigrants enough to keep the wages low, but not so much that they actually stop coming. Trump—bless his black heart—is upsetting all this by taking things so literally (instead of liberally, like he's supposed to).
What Trump doesn't get in his haste is that the ‘immigration problem’ is not supposed to be resolved. It's supposed to be a perennial problem, enabling them suck in seasonal labor. People without rights for people with property rights, that's what the capitalist overlords want. There's no wage theft from illegal people, it's a victimless crime, ie pure profit. Anti-migrant hatred is encouraged by American elites to keep their costs down, it's an advertising campaign, not meant to be taken to its logical conclusion.
Note that the US companies who thrive off this enslaveable labor are not punished at all. Yet that would be the easiest place for a government to start. ICE agents (many of them Hispanic) don't need to walk the hot border, they could just walk into a few air-conditioned board rooms and check the books. But they don't do that, because that would actually interfere with white power. The hypocrisy is the point, and the tension is what keeps the motor of American capitalism wound.
What Trump misses in his sincere channeling of the America id is that the racism was always performative. A show for the white working class while some slave class is used to undercut them. Like the tragedy/comedy masks of Greek theatre, the same charade was practiced by the Romans. As Cornell and Matthews said in their history of the Roman World,
Peasant families were driven out in large numbers by rich investors and were replaced on the land by slave labor. Slaves were in plentiful supply thanks to military victories and the resulting mass enslavement of defeated populations;
Look at the siege warfare against Venezuela, driving slave labor into America, then the performative whipping of those slaves and sending them to concentration camps in El Salvador. Americans are conditioned to complain about the people building their homes but to support the destruction of other people's homes abroad. They can't see the causal connection between foreign and domestic policy, like a junkie complaining about getting blood in their shot. Americans don't get that they wouldn't get people fleeing into their country if they weren't shooting other countries up. It's all a show at their expense (also), and increasingly a charade.
America was founded as a slave state and is and always was. Their elites don't know how to allocate labor in any other way, they just keep reproducing slavery in different forms, with different marketing. After the Civil War and the Civil Rights Movement there was an increasing subtlety to the performance, but now the production values have dropped and it's just a horror show. But for someone, somewhere, it always was.
America was always a Jekyll and Hyde act, a slave state that patented freedom, a nuclear killer that prevented proliferation, a warmonger that brought peace. Far from being a detriment, the tension kept the whole high-wire act going, and the drama was renewed for season after season. However, production values have dropped in the last act, dramatically.
Trump, today, is all Sulk: SMASH. A Mr. Hyde that isn't even hiding his villainy. While Trump makes some belated paeans to elite disrepectability, saying he wants to carve out exemptions for farm and hotel labor, this is done half-assedly and with no possible enforcement. Trump is a demolition artist, not a sculptor. From tariffs to migration, he just sulks and smashes, then moves to the next thing. The aging White Empire was joined at the hip by hypocrisy, and Trump is doing hip replacement by chainsaw.
Trump misses the point that two-faced American racism let Americans have their cake and eat it too. They could be structurally racist and have lesser races build their structures. Whereas more genteel racists in Britain were able to both condemn migrants with Brexit and dramatically increase migration afterwards, Trump is actually lowering migration from both colored nations and the rest of White Empire. His policies are actually working! Thus he fulfills the ancient curse, may you get what you wish for.
In the meme, GigaChad Xi Jinping is smiling next to the phrase “Do Nothing. Win.” Then the meme was updated when Beta Donald Trump unleashed The Art Of The Deal and got bit on his own ass, badly. Now it's “The Art Of Do Nothing & Win by Fuk Yu.” This is funny but not true. China has done lots of things over many decades, as its ancient wisdom and modern results can tell you.
Confucius's ancient governing advice can be summarized through the example of the even more ancient Emperor Shun. We consider Confucius (Master Kong) ancient (-500), but he himself was harking back to Emperor Shun from 1,700 years before him. As The Analects (15.5) records, “The Master said, “Is Shun not an example of someone who ruled by means of wu-wei? What did he do? He made himself reverent and took his proper [ritual] position facing south, that is all.”” This one of the more confusing axioms of Confucius because it actually expands your mind the most. As the footnotes to the Hackett edition note, “This idea of “ruling by not ruling”—concentrating on self-cultivation and inner Virtue and allowing external things to come naturally and noncoercively—has been a constant theme throughout the Analects.” This has also been a constant ideal throughout Chinese history though, like wu-wei, rarely grasped and only briefly held.
The broad Confucian idea is that order radiates outwards from a good ruler, like metta in Buddhism, only more meta. If the ruler orders themselves, everything is rightly measured; the household, the ministers, the bureaucrats, the common people. As Master Kong said, “Let the lord be a true lord, the ministers true ministers, the fathers true fathers, and the sons true sons.” And as the Duke he was talking to responded, talking about inequality IMHO, “Well put! Certainly if the lord is not a true lord, the ministers not true ministers, the fathers not true fathers, and the sons not true sons, even if there is sufficient grain, will I ever get to eat it?”
This Duke like basically everyone ever didn't actually listen. Master Kong gave mild advice which was wildly impractical. But he's certainly not wrong. The Master said, “In your governing, Sir, what need is there for executions? If you desire goodness, then the common people will be good. The Virtue of a gentleman is like the wind, and the Virtue of a petty person is like the grass—when the wind moves over the grass, the grass is sure to bend.”
Master Kong's idea (common across most ancient ideas of kingship) was that the ruler could ground themselves by a deep connection to the ancestors and the gods, enacted (programmed in modern parlance) by ritual. If the ruler truly respected his elders, the even elder gods, then he would command respect by a truly higher power. The kingdom would be rightly ordered. Thus he could ‘take his proper [ritual] position facing south, that is all.’ This might look like ‘do nothing, win’ to an untrained eye, but if you listen to Master Kong, finding such a path actually requires the most work of all! Not just the life work of a ruler, but the life force of all the generations before them.
The Art Of War is another ancient text from roughly the same time as Master Kong, from the possibly apocryphal Sun Tzu. It is also a confusing text because its highest ideal is winning wars by not fighting them. It's like a painter's guide to a blank canvas. Master Sun said, “winning a hundred victories in a hundred battles is not the best possible outcome. Best is to subdue the enemy’s troops without ever engaging them on the battlefield.” Like Confucius, a true warlord would look like they're doing nothing, because everything had already been done. As Master Sun said, “the one who has the most tallies in the “temple calculations” before battle will surely be victorious over the one with fewer, let alone the one who has no tallies at all! From this I conclude that victory and defeat can be foreseen.”
I remember reading the Art Of War when I had a few months to launch an UberEats competitor, and being disappointed because it was so useless for my purposes. I tried some light industrial espionage which just blew up in my face and we only survived because of the power of the programmers that came before me. But that's another story. The Art Of War is all about preparation (temple tallies), which I had no time for. That is the point, which I missed. You have to take time in the past to relax in the future. Master Sun said, “In general, whoever takes his position first on the battleground to await the enemy can take his time, whereas the commander who takes up his position belatedly must rush into battle hard-pressed. By definition, those who excel in battle compel the enemy and they do not let others compel them.”
This is not the conventional idea of war, which is all about glory on the battlefield. But Master Sun said, “A victory that does not surpass the understanding of the vulgar crowd is not the best sort of victory. Nor is the finest way to win a battle one that the whole realm applauds.” As they continued, “He who excels in battle doesn’t have a name for cleverness, nor does he garner accolades for his courage. He never errs in winning battles, because he places his men where they are bound to win, and he conquers those who are already lost.”
Bear this all in mind as we discuss trade wars, which are best not fought at all. As China's modern State Council Information Office said, “Trade wars produce no winners, and protectionism leads up a blind alley. The economic success of both China and the US presents shared opportunities rather than mutual threats.” At the same time, however, Master Sun didn't raise no bitch. So their Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman also said, “If war is what the U.S. wants, be it a tariff war, a trade war or any other type of war, we’re ready to fight till the end.”
I'm not saying that anyone in China is consulting these intro level books, these are common-sense insights, at least in China. Plan ahead, prepare, any parent worth their salt teaches this, you don't necessarily need great sages. I am saying that China is dealing small-minded people who have only now picked on someone their own size and are having a literal crash course in world history.
The great advantage of Chinese central planning is basically just having a fucking plan, which is somehow witchcraft to pantser Americans. ‘What is this sorcery?’ they say, ‘someone thinking more than a tweet ahead?’ This should not be news after getting bested by everyone from Vietnam to the Taliban, but a coward dies a thousand times before their death. But I digress.
For an understanding of Chinese leadership, understand what current leader Xi Jinping learned during his own re-education. Xi was sent to the countryside in Liangjiahe for seven years, “sleeping in flea-infested cave-houses, laboring for long hours and wrestling with hunger.” As a villager there said (via Xinhua) “Wang Xianping, recollected how Xi, who then served as a village leader, repaired the road connecting the village with the outside. “It used to be a narrow and winding path that couldn't even accommodate a wheelbarrow and was then transformed into a broad road,” Wang said. The road helped the village kickstart its development.” Call this propaganda if you want, I don't think it impractical that Xi built a road. It is this simply insight that leads directly to the Belt and Road Initiative today, which has gone global.
As Xi rose from village to town to province, Xi stuck to this lesson, citing the pithy saying ‘if you want to get rich, first build roads.’ When he rose to international leadership of China (which takes forever, it's not a reality TV show contest like in America), Xi transposed this logic to global transportation logistics, saying that “Infrastructure is the bedrock of connectivity – it is the lack of infrastructure that has held up the development of many countries.”
To that end, China embarked on the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), building roads, railroads, and ports all over the world. In People's Daily in 2023, He Yin said, “Over the past 10 years, the BRI has taken "hard connectivity" of infrastructure as an important direction, "soft connectivity" of rules and standards as an important support, and "people-to-people connectivity" among partner countries as an important foundation.” This is now a working system, with major economic results.
This hard, painstaking work across multiple continents and millions of stakeholders was the ‘temple calculations’ made long before trade war broke out. China's ruler had already taken a ritual position facing (Global) South. This is why it appears that Xi is doing nothing now, because the hard work of preparation has already been done. And you can see what happened. China went from trading the most with the Global North (White Empire I call it) to trading the most with the Global South.
The BRI has been cynically spun by the West as a debt trap, but remember (always) that every accusation is a confession. I speak from Sri Lanka which fell into the debt trap, and our problem was western loans, China actually helped us out. Western debt is just debt to pay more debt (ie, themselves), with the IMF coming into strip us of assets, never building them. China is not like that, it's a completely different development model, and completely non-coercive. As a recent (Western) study out of Johns Hopkins reports,
Cases from Sri Lanka, Iraq, Zimbabwe, Ethiopia, Angola, and the Republic of Congo, among others, point to debt relief patterns with distinctly Chinese characteristics. In nearly all cases, China has only offered debt write-offs for zero-interest loans. Our study found that between 2000 and 2019, China has cancelled at least US$ 3.4 billion of debt in Africa. There is no “China, Inc.”: for interest-bearing loans, treatment for inter-governmental debt and Chinese company loans are negotiated separately, and often loan-by-loan rather than for the entire portfolio. While rescheduling by increasing the repayment period is common, changes in interest rates, reductions in principal (“haircuts”), or refinancing are not. We found that China has restructured or refinanced approximately US$ 15 billion of debt in Africa between 2000 and 2019. We found no “asset seizures” and despite contract clauses requiring arbitration, no evidence of the use of courts to enforce payments, or application of penalty interest rates.
China is actually helpful, the hateful propaganda against them is just sour grapes to make an intoxicating whine. I make this digression to spare myself a tirade war in the comments. You can generally take China at their word while you can assume that America is lying. This rarely leads you wrong.
For example, when America accuses China of 'stealing' jobs from them, this is a lie. America was deindustrializing long before China joined the WTO, and Americans don't want those jobs anymore. America chose to spend money bombing other country's infrastructure instead of building their own, but that's literally their business, not China's.
Also, American trade is not that important to China anymore. As someone reports, “China has been working to reduce its dependency on US trade since Trump's first term, successfully decreasing the share of US exports from 19% in 2018 to under 15% in 2024 based on figures provided by the People's Daily. However, the total value of exports to the US remains substantial at $525 billion, accounting for nearly 3% of China's GDP.” The number is high, but less than 3% is not actually substantial. The copy editors are coping hard.
Most of China's demand is actually domestic and they no longer require FDI and technology from the West, it's actually vice versa. The fact is that the world has changed while westerners are still dwelling in the past.
The yin-yang of global trade has completely flipped from 2000 to 2020. The world's largest trading partner is China, not America. America is more like the spurned ex, threatening to kill themselves if we don't go back to her. But America can no longer dictate terms, only throw tariffic tantrums.
Biden's Dumbassador Nicholas Burns said, “We don't want to live in a world where the Chinese are the dominant country,” but no other country is this murder-suicidal. There is in fact nothing nefarious in China's rise, just things returning to the global mean after a few aberrant centuries of colonial domination. Most of the world's population is in most of the world and that's where most the wealth was too, until Europeans looted it. The imperialists are lucky that the world doesn't want revenge or restitution, just to move on without things going nuclear. America (as heirs to the White Empire) could have had a privileged place in a multipolar world for another century, but they seem determined to piss it away this decade. And so it goes, in one last pissing contest.
Trump's tariff tirade goes nowhere because China has so integrated with the world while America has so disintegrated. Those that live by globalization die by globalization, and a lot of trade that Trump tried to ban in Trade War I just re-routed. Goods just re-routed via the Belt and Road while America auto-erotically asphyxiates itself alone in the closet. Americans ended up buying the same stuff through third parties like Mexico and ASEAN, at a markup. This is similar to what happened to Russian oil, which suddenly began being sold to dumbass Europeans as if Indians struck a geyser.
You could eyeball China's trade surplus with other countries going up as its surplus with America went down. Blackballing China doesn't work, America just ends up buying white-labeled good at higher cost. As researchers at CUHK said, “Our findings indicate a substantial increase in indirect exposure to China post-Trade War – the indirect exposure of U.S. importers to China through Vietnam increased by approximately 21%, while through Mexico by about 5.5% – suggesting that despite efforts to de-risk, U.S. supply chains remain intricately linked to China via third-party nations.”
‘De-risk’ is actually a made-up word, and absurdity repeated so much it sounds profound. It's like the joke about Australia protecting its trade routes (with China) from China. China has never threatened America and looks for win-win trade with everybody, even people that don't deserve it. If I spend millions ‘de-ghosting’ my house that doesn't make ghosts real, it just makes me a moron.
Whatever politicians say, the American economy doesn't want to decouple from China, as you may have noticed when markets recently shit the bed. A lot of the American economy (like Apple) is just white-labelling Chinese products at a massive markup. Apple's ‘Designed in California’ just means moving the camera bump around on Photoshop for decades, it's pure profit. And it's not just Apple, the military-industrial complex itself cannot decouple from China. Hence you get the warlords like Greg Hayes of Raytheon saying (via the FT),
Greg Hayes, chief executive of Raytheon, said the company had “several thousand suppliers in China and decoupling . . . is impossible”. “We can de-risk but not decouple,” Hayes told the Financial Times in an interview, adding that he believed this to be the case “for everybody”. “Think about the $500bn of trade that goes from China to the US every year. More than 95 per cent of rare earth materials or metals come from, or are processed in, China. There is no alternative,” said Hayes.
America literally cannot blockade China without blocking their own arteries. This is why China has been able to respond to America's diplomatic diarrhea so handily. As one failson told another in Succession, “You fucked it. He's got our dick in his hand. We should have his dick in our hand.”
Whereas America has talking dickheads on TV changing trade policy every 15 minutes, China responds calmly through staid official channels, and then jets off to actually close deals with Vietnam. China's Ministry of Finance said, “The tariff rate shall be increased from 84% to 125%,” and then dropped the mic. They said, “In view of the fact that under the current tariff level, there is no possibility for the US to export goods to China, if the United States continues to impose tariffs on Chinese exports to the United States, China will ignore it.” In another statement they said, “Even if the United States continues to impose higher tariffs, it will no longer have economic significance and will become a joke in the history of the world economy.”
And indeed, Trump has had to cave while waiting by the phone for a Xi that never calls. America had to delay its heaviest tariffs for 90 days and exempt most electronics trade with China, ie most of the value. Meanwhile China has not blinked on its reciprocal tariffs and has effectively blocked rare-earths exports to America entirely. America is now in a position where it can only import finished electronics from China, and anyone trying to manufacture them at home is fucked. If you try to import a computer from China that's fine, but if you try to import the parts and assemble your own, you get tariffed. This does not bring manufacturing home, instead it's like man, you fucked. There's a bit of lag in the system, but supply chains are shook, and there's no policy stability coming. Nobody can build factory cause they have no idea what price they'll be able to sell at, and no one knows what their imports will cost until they try to clear them. China has won a war they never wanted but prepared for, while America has started a war they're not ready for at all.
Master Sun said, “By definition, those who excel in battle compel the enemy and they do not let others compel them.” Alas for America, the power of their own numbskull compels them to further and further humiliation. Stephen Miran—one of the misfiring nodes in what passes for Trump's economic brain—says, “the U.S. exerts its financial might to achieve foreign policy ends.” Given that those ends are hundreds of thousands of innocent lives in Gaza, one really can blame them.
America deserves what they have coming and worse. The collapse of America is a cause for internation jubilation. As I've discussed, America is a colony vs. while China is a civilization, that is to say, America is a sick civilization on its deathbed. As Aimé Césaire said,
What am I driving at? At this idea: that no one colonizes innocently, that no one colonizes with impunity either; that a nation which colonizes, that a civilization which justifies colonization—and therefore force—is already a sick civilization, a civilization which is morally diseased, which irresistibly, progressing from one consequence to another, one denial to another, calls for its Hitler, I mean its punishment.
And so America punishes itself, by electing the mendacious moron Trump twice, and by launching Trade War II against all advice. The world should have sanctioned America long ago, but Trump does it for us, through tariffs. If you were trying to dismantle America you couldn't hand the mantle to anyone better than this man. As the now famous tweet goes, “[This] Chinese international student in my class was telling me about how his evangelical dad in Beijing believes that Trump was chosen by god to win the election, but that this victory is part of a larger divine plan to destroy the united states.” Ain't it the truth. As Drake said in his weird music video tour of dystopian America, God's Plan.
I would reference Trump's Art Of The Deal for some rhetorical counterweight, but Trump didn't write it, let alone read it. As his ghostwriter Tony Schwartz said, “I seriously doubt that Trump has ever read a book straight through in his adult life.” Trump's publisher said, “Trump didn’t write a postcard for us!” and Schwartz said, “I put lipstick on a pig.” Schwartz took his cheque but also said, in a private moment of honesty to his diary (in 1986), “All he is is ‘stomp, stomp, stomp’—recognition from outside, bigger, more, a whole series of things that go nowhere in particular.” And so here we are, with the guy who somehow fucked up the casino business closing down the USA for business entirely.
Thus bullshit artist meets the people who wrote The Art Of War, and is confused to death by Confucian wu-wei with Marxist characteristics. While it may look like China is doing nothing, they have taken an infrastructural position facing south, they have done the temple tallies, and they are conquering those who have already lost.
I've adopted the fundraiser for Muhammad and his family in Gaza. If you're able, give them support, a loan to God is surely doing yourself a favor.
I remember when there was a stupid debate about whether 'Israel' (DoorDash for American bombs) bombed hospitals. Now there's just a stultifying silence. 'Israel' just bombs hospitals now. America just bombs water supplies in brave Yemen. Across the whole White Empire, they just disappear anyone with half a conscience. This is just who they are and they don't care who knows it. This is who they always were, because hindsight is 20/20. All the debates are dead and all the death speaks for itself. All that's left is the killing and a chilling silence. Even from my own mouth. What's left to say? They bomb hospitals now. They always did.
The Ten Stages of Genocide, written by Gregory Stanton at the fucking US State Department was quite a confession. Ignoring its own state and laundered through the atrocity monopolizing holocaust industry, the stages are nonetheless accurate, like the confession of a serial killer who fundamentally just wants to be understood. The stages are “classification, symbolization, discrimination, dehumanization, organization, polarization, preparation, persecution, extermination, and denial.”
It's not that 'Israel' commits war crimes, 'Israel' is a war crime. It's not that 'Israel' commits genocide it is genocide, just as America, Australia, and Canada are. The genocide of the Palestinian people began from the very moment of the Genocide Convention in 1948, when the act became entirely conventional. The Genocide Convention might as well have been 'Israel's' constitution, and the 10 Stages Of Genocide a State Department manual.
From the beginning, 'Israel' was classified as a race state, Palestinians were symbolized as terrorists, legally discriminated against, and constantly dehumanized and separated from their land and bodies. This organized polarization spread to the United States after 9/11, which peaked the preparation for the persecution of Muslims globally, in a global war of terror. This was a long extermination campaign that has already destroyed multiple nations and which is merely culminating now in the destruction of Gaza.
We are now witnessing the penultimate stage of genocide, complete extermination of captive people in Gaza, or more accurately we are not witnessing it, because the final stage, denial, is already upon us. All the complicated forensics about how hospitals bomb themselves is missing from the imperial press. Whereas they used to at least both to lie, now they just say nothing. Witnesses are disappeared off the streets or abducted from airports. We're in the complete denial phase now. This never happened, even as it happens worse than ever. If the cognitive dissonance rings too loudly in your head and you dare open your mouth, they'll disappear and deport you. That's just where we are now. It's the final solution, and STFU about it. There's more debate within 'Israel' than in the occupied imperial core, where they're more worried about the cost of their iPhones than what they see on them. As the Colosseum crumbles, who cares who's being fed to the lions? People are more worried about keeping their cheap seats and cheap concessions.
As it ends, remember that nothing started on October 7th. Gaza is just (inshallah) the end of the long terror campaign that has already killed at least 5 million and displaced at least 40 million, for decades now. Empire called this the ‘War On Terror’ because it's been opposites day for decades. They lie as easily as they steal breath from innocents, and have made an entire industry out of being guilty.
'Israel', as the symbolic center of Empire's very real persecution, has monopolized and monetized genocide and perfected genocide denial. It's a public relations exercise to these obliterators of entire publics. Jews have monopolized the very concept of genocide, and enforce their trademark ruthlessly. This was memorialized in Adam Johannes famous letter-to-the-editor years ago, and is still how 'Israel' edits the historical record.
'Israel's' style of public relations is to deny that their attacks happened, to blame the attacked for killing themselves, then saying they deserved to die, then say someone behind them deserved to die, then say just 'oops', then blame other countries, then finally call their critics antisemites. This keeps happening over and over, just in tighter cycles as the abomination spirals downward, now such that all phases happen all at once. Note that I'm using the term Jews because they collectively deserve as much contempt and shaming as Germans at this point. Some of them, I know, are good people, but they're not sending their best.
Again and again, they bomb hospitals in the name of the Jewish state, and the US State Department backs them up because this is what White Empire always did. White supremacy is now extended cynically to Jewish people. These people didn't invent attacking health, but merely perfected it. From the smallpox ridden blankets of American 'settlement' to the lack of gauze in Gaza, destroying health for wealth is on page one of the colonizer manual.
The brave martyr Yahya Sinwar said to an interviewer in 2018, “The man who served us tea—his wife died from an infection. No big deal, a cut. But there were no antibiotics, and that's how she died. For something any pharmacist could treat. Do you think it's easy for us?” Now this process merely reaches its culmination as denial of medicine applies to everyone. I have seen 'Israel' bomb pharmacies and kill patients in their hospital beds, we all know it now, but it was always happening to someone. 'Israel' doesn't accidentally hit hospitals. They are trying to kill an entire people and public health is their primary target. They don't coincidentally destroy everything that makes life possible. They are trying to kill everyone.
All the nations of the White Empire that already politely committed their genocides are saying, meekly, no, not like this, while still giving them the bombs to do it. Most protestors within these nations are in solidarity with Palestinian corpses but not their rockets, making them useless hypocrites. You shouldn't condemn Hamas, you should commend them, but as the saying goes, a liberal supports every liberation movement except the current one, every civil rights movement but the one happening right now. America, Australia, Canada, the UK, France, Germany; it's all one White Empire to us underneath and they can all go to hell in the same handbasket.
Zionists today are stress-testing if Jews have the final white privilege—the ability to commit genocide—and no, they don't, actually. It's not the 1700s anymore and there isn't time to launder all the blood out into clean land acknowledgments, nor is there a continent of resources to be won. Jews are not, in fact, fully white and will be left holding the bloody bag as the White Empire comes down. They'll end up the fall guys for the fall. They'll blame it all on the Jews for corrupting them, when the vice was largely versa! The problem with the Jews was not their Jewishness but their whiteness, not their Middle Eastern incarnation but their Western source.
The victors write history and this is a losing battle for 'Israel'. They are winning the genocide and losing the war. If one genocide created 'Israel', another one cancels them out. 'Israel,' in fact, already lost to Hamas on October 7th and has been on direct imperial death support ever since. They are not masters of their own destiny, as much as the tail is marketed as wagging the dog. The fact is that 'Israel' can't survive a week without American bombs and British surveillance flights and Germans being German. They've gotten the whole imperial band back together, for one last swan song.
This isn't past centuries, where there was lots of time to commit genocides and cover them up. Nor are there great spoils to win, Gaza is not a continent. Empire doesn't have centuries to cover up this genocide and become hectoring lecturers on the subject. They're destroying Gaza, yes, but their own body politic will be found under the rubble. They're tearing themselves apart, burning from the spark lit by Hamas. Godspeed to the Resistance, David to the Goliath trying to monopolize his star, and lobotomize us all.
The White Empire, recapitalized in America, is itself collapsing and cannot support 'Israel' much longer. Even if America survives a little longer (despite its best efforts at suicide), the carrying climate is collapsing atop them and, unfortunately, us. This is what I call Collapse³. God, of course, told us about this apocalypse long ago, science just measures how much we piss in Their face, and how much this further pisses Them off. The end to come, however, is of cold comfort to the people already gone. Or even worse, those who live in the real end times, ‘when no man shall know another, or be able to help their fellow’. There are living souls struggling under the rubble as we speak, or as we don't speak, more meekly. The serial killers try to silence history but still it screams at all of us.
I can hear it in the absence of the debate about bombing hospitals, from the yawning abscess where the idea of a free press used to be. The western press is just part of the oppression, you can see it right in the middle of the word. Only rando bloggers with travel warnings are crying to a few thousand people about the extermination of millions, which might as well by yelling into the void. Meanwhile the worst people in the world jet around and are platformed to lie or just deny it. What they call a 'platform' was always for hanging people, we just didn't see cause our heads were covered in bags of newsprint. But now the bags are off because the executioners at the end of history are increasingly tired and lazy, and don't even bother with the cover-up. They just openly bomb hospitals now, and don't care who knows about it.
If America truly wanted to ‘beat’ China they would join them. That's how China ‘beat’ America. As Sun Yefang said, “I believe that we have to study capitalist economics, not only for the sake of knowledge alone but also to acquire concrete research tools and methods.” If you think this is a contradiction to Marxism, I invite you to read Capital, or at least the title of it. Ignorance is not bliss, and arrogance is a death-wish.
In the 1980s, Uncle Deng was standing atop Chairman Mao's hard-won industrial base, trying to figure out WTF to do with it. China had productive capacity, but it wasn't economically deployed, and they could already see the Soviet Union going sideways. At that point, Deng encouraged “making up missed lessons” including from ‘poisonous’ capitalists. After all, you need a bit of poison to make an antidote.
Deng's question was, “Why can’t we develop a market economy under socialism?” and his answer was yes, that “we must move ahead in building a socialism which is truly superior to capitalism.” With that attitude in mind, significant latitude was given in terms of ideology. As Uncle Deng said, “It does not matter if it is a yellow cat or a black cat, as long as it catches mice.” As Isabella Weber (whose excellent book this whole post is cribbing from) said,
As Deng had proclaimed in 1975, the real enemies in his eyes were not “capitalist roaders”—Deng himself was denounced as one—but those who “still use metaphysics” and “talk only about politics but not economics; only about revolution not production” (Selden, 1979, 142). In the Deng era, catching up through reform now meant “making up missed lessons” (补课) in economics, both in Eastern European reform theories and in bourgeois economics, which had previously been condemned as “capitalist poison.
This is the key lesson from the Deng era, not that China became capitalist (as Americans lazily propagandize because they read The Economist once), but that they had their own economists and developed their own economics. China truly developed socialism with Chinese characteristics through constant experimentation and adaptation, not just theory but practice (‘crossing the river by feeling for stones’). This is the ‘reform and opening up’ process which continues to this day. As Jiang Zemin said in 1992,
Whether the emphasis was on planning or on market regulation was not the essential distinction between socialism and capitalism. This brilliant thesis has helped free us from the restrictive notion that the planned economy and the market economy belong to basically different social systems, thus bringing about a great breakthrough in our understanding of the relation between planning and market regulation.
Or as current Chairman Xi Jingping said in 2012,
In carrying out reform and opening up, we must have the courage to free our minds, but freeing our minds must be done with an orientation, a standpoint, and underlying principles; so too in reform and opening up. Some claim that reform and opening up means moving toward the “universal values” and the political systems of Western countries; otherwise, it cannot be called reform and opening up. This is a complete misinterpretation...
As the world develops and society advances, failure to reform and open up would lead us to a dead end. Similarly, carrying out reform and opening up in a way against a socialist orientation would also lead us to a dead end. We must, therefore, remain keenly aware of the direction in which we are heading, namely to keep improving and developing socialism, not to set out on a different path.
Basically free your mind, but don't let it fall out your behind. The Communist Party of China has consistently learnt from every possible source without losing themselves in the process. As Adrian Wood, the principal World Bank economist they invited over in the 1980s said, “The Chinese were very careful to distinguish between the views of the World Bank and their own views; they always kept a clear division, this is you and this is us… The Chinese Communists, despite being on a different ideological planet from the World Bank, knew exactly how to handle the relationship, which was very friendly, highly cooperative, but arm’s length.”
In this way, China did not try to ‘beat’ America, which is a uniquely western perception, fearful as they are of their own colonial shadow. The greatest western fear is the golden rule being applied to them, that others would do unto them as they have done. Western propaganda is really projection, what if they were like us, genociding, invading, debt-trapping, and dropping nukes on people? Everything bad they say about China is really a reflection. Every accusation is a confession. But that's not China. China is China, which needs to be understood on its own terms, in its own words.
For the past 40 years, China has literally minded its own business while America has been mindfucking their own population and literally bombing. The CPC set ambitious goals for themselves and strived without tearing others down. Deng set a target for mid this century to “say with assurance that socialism is really superior to capitalism,” and they've done it with speed. The young American streamer IShowSpeed, for example, recently visited China with an open mind and had his mind blown.
Speed is an effusive character, affectionately called Hyperthyroid Brother in China. On his tour, Speed flew in flying cars, floated in floating cars, and jumped in jumping cars. He bought one of those cars, three Huawei trifold phones, trained with Shaolin monks, ate lots of food, and interacted with lots of people across many hours of livestreaming. This presented a certainly planned but still unfiltered view of China many westerners have not seen through the veil of propaganda.
Remember that western propaganda is directed at its own populations, to make them tolerate their hated governments by hating someone else more. But China is actually chill, as Speed has shown by just walking around. Socialism has comprehensively proved that it's a better governance and production system, while capitalism is comprehensively fucking itself. Speed livestreamed people living their best lives in China, while America has been livestreaming nothing but the worst death in Gaza. One rando dude simply walking around China is enough to pierce the veil of ignorance, if the hail of bullets that killed young Hind Rajab didn't inform you that these people are lying to you.
If America sincerely wanted to regenerate they would listen to their young and stop killing children. Younger generations do not reflexively hate China, because that's racist and dumb. China doesn't actually propagandize much at all, but people can see that the technology is better and that they're not bombing anyone. Actions speak louder than words, and one American livestreaming can undo billions of dollars worth of American propagandizing.
Even if Americans are committed to fearing China, all the more reason to incorporate their higher technology and learn from it. This is what China did after their century of humiliation, but America is still in that pride before the fall period, where they're proud of falling. America is furiously trying to beat back the tide of history with tariffs, instead of letting China's rising tide lift their boats also. As the saying goes, if you can't beat 'em, join 'em. But as modern Americans say when encountering something very American, what are we, a bunch of ASIANS?
Americans are the most propagandized people on earth, and this deep programming makes it very difficult for them to learn anything. Many westerners (America, UK, Europe, it's all one White Empire) will proudly regurgitate propaganda at the dinner table. They really don't see how rude it is to casually disrespect other countries, and how badly informed they are. American media almost never lets China speak for itself, instead employing a class of professionally wrong people to explain something they don't understand and are not even curious about. America has, as the Notorious BIG warned against, gotten high on its own propaganda supply, and are now overdosing on it.
Now I am not here to administer Naloxone to the throne. America was born bad and they're breaking bad, good riddance to bad rubbish as far as I'm concerned. I hope America chokes on their own vomit and croaks. I'm happy, like Walter White, to just watch the death of White Empire with some satisfaction.
This article says America ‘should’ join China, but if I'm being honest, I hope they don't. America reinventing capitalism with American characteristics would imply the reinvention of America, and I can't think of anything worse. I don't expect anything from America. As Goldfinger told James Bond, No, Mr. Bond, I expect you to die!” There is no point talking to people that don't listen, especially while they're killing children. There is no point reasoning with Donald Trump, or even the Democrats, who follow the same line with more hypocrisy and hyperbole. I do this for academic purposes and to dickishly say I told you so.
The hard historical fact is that America is a colony while China is a civilization, and America cannot become civilized no matter how hard they try. And they're really not trying at all. America would rather go down the way they came up, in a flurry of barbarity, brutalizing the native people of Palestine, slandering heroes like Hamas and Yemen's Ansarallah, and spreading lies about the true leader of the free world, China, which leads by example rather than coercion.
To learn one must have a basic level of respect for the teacher, and Americans simply cannot yet understand this. They cannot understand that China is not their enemy and that even if they were, that there is no greater teacher than the enemy (as Mazer Rackham said). As Tony Soprano said, those that want respect, give respect, and America gives and increasingly gets none. They're more Rodney Dangerfield than Deng Xiaoping. They meet their fate on the highway they take to not avoid it at all.
The rest of the world, inshallah, is just moving on, albeit under a hail of bullets and potential nuclear shroud. To paraphrase Gramsci said, the old world is dying and the new world is struggling to be born, now is the time of morons. China still offers them an open hand, but America slaps it away quite proudly. But you know what pride goeth before. Americans call it ‘buying the dip’ but, no, it's the fall. America would rather die ignorant and arrogant, and so it does. This is why I hope America doesn't join China. China is successful, and America deserves to fail.
I've adopted the fundraiser for Muhammad and his family in Gaza. If you're able, give them support, a loan to God is surely doing yourself a favor.
Read:
How China Escaped Shock Therapy (🏴☠️)
Isabella M. Weber;
We are witnessing the planned demolition of America as a world trade center. The historical bin is laden with economic bullshit, begging to be set on fire by a historical arsonist. And so Trump emerges, hijacking history and flying tariffs into the towers of American power. I, for one, am here for it. Death to America, by suicide as well as Resistance.
America has been dabbling with doo-doo economics well before Trump left this flaming turd on the world's doorstep. In the 1970s, America effectively defaulted on the gold standard and just started making shit up. Like Trump, they just kept bullshitting their way to the top, failing upwards. In the 1980s they came up with the laughable Laffer Curve, the idea they could collect more taxes by cutting them (they couldn't). Now they're trying to replace taxes with tariffs (the Internal with the External Revenue Service) using dubious theory laid out by Stephen Miran. This theory I call the Miran Mirage, the idea that tariffs will be paid for by currency depreciation elsewhere (they won't).
Stephen Miran is the closest thing to an economic brain behind Trump. I read his stupid-ass white paper to understand stupid-ass white people, and include it for your perusal at the bottom of this article. I must qualify that rationalizing the actions of a mad king is itself madness. Trump just follows his ‘gut’ and everybody else just reads the entrails. Now that they've gutted the world economy, we can at least see how the guts spill as opposed to how this was foretold.
Miran's mirage is that, “Tariffs provide revenue, and if offset by currency adjustments, present minimal inflationary or otherwise adverse side effects.” Broadly speaking, that America can have its cake and eat it too, and everybody else can eat shit. Miran said this is “consistent with the experience in 2018-2019. While currency offset can inhibit adjustments to trade flows, it suggests that tariffs are ultimately financed by the tariffed nation, whose real purchasing power and wealth decline, and that the revenue raised improves burden sharing for reserve asset provision.”
This is how tariffs are supposed to ‘pay for themselves,’ through currency adjustments abroad. For example, let's say I'm using $100 USD to buy 100 XYZ worth of goods. If tariffs go up by 10% I have to pay $110, boo. However, if that XYZ currency depreciates by 10%, my dollars stretch 10% further than before! I can pay $90 to get that same 100 units of XYZ currency, pay the US Treasury $9 for doing such good extortion, and even pocket a dollar. Tariffs can thus actually save money, as long as a bunch of completely impossible assumptions hold.
This is what Miran calls perfect currency offset. He says, “since the exporters’ citizens became poorer as a result of the currency move, the exporting nation ‘pays for’ or bears the burden of the tax, while the U.S. Treasury collects the revenue.” This is classic beggar-thy-neighbor economics, discredited by Adam Smith centuries ago but, you know, fuck it. Calling Miran a thinker is far too generous, he's just telling the Orange King what he wants to hear, dressing naked imperialism in formulas.
This sort of magical math is endemic across the Trump administration. For example, their formula for calculating tariffs looks complicated, but the two variables (funny E and funny O) are randomly set to 4 and ¼. One fourth of four is one, and multiplying by one does nothing. The variables just cancel out. It's a joke.
To be honest, this is fairly standard for western economics, which has a bunch of assumptions that are provably false (like rational actors, perfect competition, or even the separation of economics from other disciplines). Economics is maddest ‘science’, imagine if chemistry had a completely unproven periodic table and did experiments on entire human populations anyways, frequently killing them. That's Economics 101.
In the ‘perfect’ scenario Miran describes, tariffs are non-inflationary because of the currency offset. American prices don't change because foreign countries get deranged and the US Treasury gets money out of nowhere. Miran lists the tradeoffs here:
It's fitting that this theory is called currency offset because it perfectly describes the rapper Offset's experience at the Gucci store. Offset bought so much, usually with duffel bags of cash, that Gucci gave him a 30% discount (source: internet).
The idea is that even if America raises tariffs by 30%, they'll get a matching 30% ‘discount’ because everyone else's currency will depreciate that much. You theoretically dump all the costs abroad, and keep profits at home. Note that the part about reshoring manufacturing is somewhat coincidental. America still has no industrial policy and no state-led development (because that would be communism). This is still pure financialization, just with the finance guys running the government. The maths should just math on their own, without America doing real work or getting ready at all. Within a few days, however, this theory ran into practice and promptly exploded.
America's initial tariffs on China were 34% but the Yuan has only depreciated less than 1%. Give it time I guess, but this is one of those weeks when decades happen, and it's suddenly 2030. China has flying cars and zero fucks to give. China hit America with actually reciprocal tariffs, and America re-reciprocated, hitting China with 104% tariffs now, they're trading blows before I can hit publish. Now how does the math math? How does the Yuan lose 104% of its value? China would have to send $1000 worth of goods to America for free, with an extra $40 in a red envelope as tribute (which Miran earnestly suggests).
Currency offset is already implausible, but it's not mathematically possible at over 100% tariffs. Trump has eviscerated any economic entrail reading, he's just shooting from the gut and doesn't care what he hits. Miran is at least honest when he says, “In a broader sense, sanctions can also be perceived as a modern-day form of a blockade.” What Trump is doing against the whole world is an act of war, not just a trade war, as Warren Buffett has said. This is gunboat diplomacy without guns (currently being used to genocide Palestine) or boats (America builds only 0.1% compared to China's over 50%) or even basic diplomacy. As China said via the Global Times,
China is an ancient civilization and a country of etiquette. The Chinese people value sincerity and trust as their core principles. We will not provoke troubles, but we never flinch when trouble comes our way. Pressuring and threatening are not the correct way to engage with China. We have taken, and will continue to take, firm measures to defend our sovereignty, security, and development interests.
China-US economic and trade relations should be based on mutual benefit and win-win cooperation. The US should align with the shared expectations of people from both nations and the people of the world, and, in light of the fundamental interests of both countries, stop using tariffs as a weapon to suppress China's economy and trade, and stop harming the legitimate development rights of the Chinese people.
As the CPC has long said, China pursues win-win development (a la Adam Smith, really) but what America is doing under Trump is complete lose-lose. They're shooting themselves with tariffs, and hoping that everyone else bleeds more.
Miran at least has the concept that there are trade-offs with trade, though he basically just ignores them because ‘boss said so’. Trump wants to have his cake and eat it too, and Miran, as a simpering sycophant, just dresses up his delusions in fancy formulae. Marie Antoinette at least offered people cake, whereas Trump just tells them to eat shit and be thankful for it.
The biggest trade-off is between being a reserve currency and running a trade surplus. You basically can't do both. The US dollar is actually America's main export. They make up liquidity as a service on computers and get real stuff in return. This is not an actual problem but has been the greatest opportunity in human history, which they just squandered. If America wanted to take care of its people and do manufacturing it could have done, how they spent their infinite money was a policy choice and they just chose wrong. Now they're blaming everyone else, holding a gun to their heads and blubbering.
Trump is obsessed with reducing trade deficits but also wants the dollar to be the reserve currency. How do his sycophants square this circle? Well, Miran says this will be solved by punishments and ‘policies’. In short, the beatings will continue until morale improves. As Miran says,
Despite the dollar’s role in weighing heavily on the U.S. manufacturing sector, President Trump has emphasized the value he places on its status as the global reserve currency, and threatened to punish countries that move away from the dollar. I expect this tension to be resolved by policies that aim to preserve the status of the dollar, but improve burden sharing with our trading partners.
International trade policy will attempt to recapture some of the benefit our reserve provision conveys to trading partners and connect this economic burden sharing with defense burden sharing. Although the Triffin effects have weighed on the manufacturing sector, there will be attempts to improve America’s position within the system without destroying the system.
Trade policy is actually complicated and takes years, these guys are just getting ChatGPT to spit out spreadsheets and tariffing penguins. Miran's white paper is called “A User’s Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System” but it reads more like a cocaine user's guide to perpetual motion. The fact is that the ‘Triffin effects’ Miran is talking about were discussed much more cogently 65 years ago, by Robert Triffin.
Triffin said was, “The accumulation of a key currency as international reserves by the rest of the world necessarily entails a large amount of ‘unrequited’ capital imports by the key currency country. Coal is brought to Newcastle, from which it should be exported instead. The international liquidity shortage, moreover, is not thereby relieved, unless the key currency country allows its resulting short-term indebtedness to grow continually and persistently at a faster pace than its own gold assets.”
Triffin said ‘requiting’ (ie balancing) the trade, would cause a Greatest Depression. Without liquidity, global finance would crash. Triffin said, “The restoration of overall balance in the US international transactions would put an end to this process and deprive the rest of the world of the major source, by far, from which the international liquidity requirements of an expanding world economy are being met currently in the face of a totally inadequate supply of monetary gold. This might trigger off tomorrow—as it did under very similar circumstance in the early 1930s—a new cycle of international deflation, currency devaluations, and trade exchange restrictions.”
Standing athwart history without reading it, you can see the Trump team doing exactly what Triffin warned against. They are trying to force currency devaluations through trade exchange restrictions, causing maximum volatility and shock. More sane hands like have proposed a super-sovereign currency (like Keynes aborted Bancor, or IMF SDRs) that could resolve Triffin's Dilemma. This, for example, is from Dr. Zhou Xiaochuan, Governor of the People’s Bank of China, in 2009,
On a bipartisan basis, however, Americans are racist morons. As Biden's Ambassador to China Nicholas Burns said, “We don't want to live in a world where the Chinese are the dominant country.” They'd rather go murder-suicide with the world economic system and blow the whole thing up.
To be honest, you can see that America already hit the jaws of Triffin's Dilemma in the 1970s and have just been jaw-jawing their way through ever since. Everything since going off the gold standard has been kicking this time bomb down the road. Trump is just saying this is the end of the road, where the can explodes.
Miran has a dim understanding of Triffin's paradox in that he thinks it can be resolved by reasserting American sovereignty, ie because the Orange King says so. He thinks America can reset to a ‘Triffin equilibrium’ not by spending decades building infrastructure, educating its people, and growing productive capacity like China did, but by putting some numbers on a spreadsheet and calling it ‘Liberation Day’. Miran talks about when “global growth exceeds the reserve country’s growth for a long period of time” which has long been happening, but he has no answer for building up America's economy in response. Instead, they just want to throw a wrench in everybody else's economy, and get paid for it. This is how Miran describes his idea of ‘Triffin World’,
Such phenomena reflect what can be described as a “Triffin world,” after Belgian economist Robert Triffin. In Triffin world, reserve assets are a form of global money supply, and demand for them is a function of global trade and savings, not the domestic trade balance or return characteristics of the reserve nation. When the reserve country is large relative to the rest of the world, there are no significant externalities imposed on the reserve country from its reserve status. The distance from the Triffin equilibrium to the trade equilibrium is small. However, when the reserve country is smaller relative to the rest of the world—say, because global growth exceeds the reserve country’s growth for a long period of time—tensions build and the distance between the Triffin equilibrium and the trade equilibrium can be quite large. Demand for reserve assets leads to significant currency overvaluation with real economic consequences.
In Triffin world, the reserve asset producer must run persistent current account deficits as the flip side of exporting reserve assets. USTs become exported products which fuel the global trade system. In exporting USTs, America receives foreign currency, which is then spent, usually on imported goods. America runs large current account deficits not because it imports too much, but it imports too much because it must export USTs to provide reserve assets and facilitate global growth. This view has been discussed by prominent policymakers from both the United States (e.g. Feldstein and Volcker, 2013) as well as China (e.g. Zhou, 2009).
What Miran misses, in his maudlin America myopia, is that no one is forcing America to import too much, just as no one's forcing them to do fentanyl. America made policy choices to legalize stock buybacks and corruption instead of doing anything useful. They chose usury. America had literally all the money in the world and no idea what to do with it. These were all political choices, not economic consequences. America eviscerated the very idea of having a state in the 1980s (that would be communism), which leads precisely to the state they're in (the collapse of capitalism).
America whinging now is like someone who won an inheritance from their suicidal European uncles, spent it all on drugs, gambling, and booze, and then blames it all on the inheritance. Oh, what is this horror, the consequences of my own actions, must be everybody else's fault. America is just the latest in a long line of murdering, thieving imperialists, and the only relief is that suicide runs in the family.
Triffin's Dilemma is based on the idea of avoiding a depression, but Miran's Mirage is the idea of jumping into the void head first and alone. As he said, “Unilateral solutions are more likely to have undesired side effects, like market volatility. Multilateral solutions may have less volatility, but entail the difficulty of getting trading partners onboard, which curtails the size of the potential gains from reshaping the system.” America went fully unilateral with these tariffs. They decided to—as gambler's have said since time immemorial—to just roll them bones. This leads to the white-knuckle ride traders are on now.
China is left as the voice of reason, saying, “Development is a universal right of all nations, not the privilege of a few. There are no winners in trade wars or tariff wars, and protectionism offers no way out. All countries must uphold genuine multilateralism, jointly oppose all forms of unilateralism and protectionism, safeguard the international system with the United Nations at its core, and protect the multilateral trade framework centered on the WTO.” Unfortunately, they're talking into the void now.
America has flown two sets of tariffs into the center of world trade and that shit is going down. It's the demolition of a bankrupt casino, something Donald Trump is familiar with. He's one of the few businessmen since Bugsy Siegel to lose money on casinos, and now he's blowing up the biggest money-printing machine of all time. Trump lights the match, but the slaving, stealing American economy was always rigged, and it was always rigged to blow. As the delusional psychopath Nicky Santoro said in the intro to the film Casino, “Matter of fact, nobody knew all the details. But it should have been perfect… But in the end, we fucked it all up.”
Miran's white paper:
and something far less stupid:
For decades, the Global South has given America tribute in the form of trade and hostages in the form of our children to educate. We have sent them millions of indentured servants in the form of legal migrants and slaves called 'illegals' now. As always, colored people have done the grunt work of colonization, and staffed the imperial bureaucracy. We should have shown some dignity, but whenever we did, it was couped and cuffed out of us mercilessly.
However, April 2nd was an actual ‘Liberation Day.’ On that unconsciously aptly named day, a great global strike was initiated by White Empire itself, against itself. What one must ask is liberation from what? It is liberation from their wallets for Americans, and liberation from them for the Dirty South.
On Liberation Day, the Orange King declared global tariffs based not on our tariffs, but on trade deficits alone. But imperial trade deficits are just a measure of how much tribute the whipped send them in exchange for worthless scrip. We use this scrip to to buy oil from other whipped people, we're all tributaries being sold up the river. The Orange King is stopping this tributary system entirely. Large trade deficits with America are largely a measure of how colonized we are, and Trump is unconsciously decolonizing us.
At the same time, he is taking the imperial hostage system hostage apart. Our people are supposed to disappear and self-deport from our communities, not vice versa. We send them our most idealistic young people, and now they're being returned, tortured, abused and stamped RETURN-TO-SENDER. This has long been happened to 'unskilled' (re: slave) labor, but now it's happening to the educated indentured. The hostage system gave America great power over the Global South, but now they're losing it by flexing.
For ‘educated’ people whom genocide was not enough of a line in the sand, a clear line is being drawn in this educide. We are all ‘sand-niggers’ to them, and the sooner we wise up the better. We are all being called to economic jihad, by Abu Donald of all people. Not out of self-dignity but sheer self-preservation. We are all Hamas now, or dumbasses.
Right now, it is hard to write this or anything as Gaza writhes in pain. Honestly I give a fuck about 44% tariffs as Gaza is being 100% destroyed. Dr. Munir Al-Boursh said, “Gaza is now taking its last breaths,” and I feel the clawing of my own soul against my hollow ribcage.
‘Israel’ is now at the 9th stage of genocide, complete extermination. At this stage, only Yemen is answering the call, which is for armed resistance. As the Ten Stages say, “During active genocide, only rapid and overwhelming armed intervention can stop genocide.” Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran have also done their duty, but the effect and threat of genocidal violence against them have taken their toll. They fight alone, while Arab countries take iftar with the 'Israelis' bombing suhoor.
White Empire ('Israel', America, UK, same thing) is openly bombing ambulances and refugee camps and the imperial media doesn't even bother lying anymore. They have already moved onto the 10th and final stage, complete denial. As Abubaker Abed, who should be covering football, said, “Unless people go on a global strike, shut down the streets, and attack their governments, nothing will change.”
Inside the imperial core, even being associated with the Resistance is deemed ‘terrorism.’ People are being disappeared for false accusations of supporting Hamas, while true supporters like me have FBI files and cannot travel there at all. 'Israel' is openly in the throes of genocidal madness, but America and Europe are closeted there also. As I said, the tenth stage of genocide is active across the western world, denial. As Dr. Greg Stanton's notes note, “Perpetrators block investigations of the crimes, and continue to govern until driven from power by force, when they flee into exile.”
We seem much closer to judgement by God than judgement by man, and They will surely find all but a few of us lacking (including myself, unfortunately). Earthly judgment seems far away, but actual fighters like Hamas predicted an end of 'Israel' by 2027 and I back them from condemned comfort. 'Israel' was defeated on October 7th and is not completely dependent on American death support. But now America's government has fallen and been replaced with a resounding vote for the fall. Thus the great salesman Donald Trump is entrusted with the private equity bust-out of the Great Satan. Abu Donald, in his ass-backwards idiotic way, has issued the call to economic jihad against America.
Donald Trump's tariffs amount to a forced global strike against America. My country, Sri Lanka, has been willingly sending Americans underwear and hosting 'Israelis' for post-genocidal R&R. We have been among the most loyal vassals and have got nothing but obliterated for our troubles. Abu Donald has forced a strike upon us, hitting us with 44% tariffs. Even if we wanted to how do we import to America now? Our garments and tea will either drive massive inflation there, or simply not be shipped at all.
The funny thing is that Russia is not being tariffed and China (preparing for this day over decades) can retaliate securely. Loyal (and poor) countries in the Global South bear the brunt of Trump's ChatGPT tariff policy, which has just taken top-level internet domains, imposing a minimum of 10% tariffs on largely unoccupied islands and tariffs of roughly half the trade deficit of other countries. Under the trade system they built, however, we were supposed to give them cheap goods and labor, in exchange for tokens (USD) they pulled out they ass. It's like a system of magic beans run by American bean-counters. They get real goods and labor, we get funny money. Neo-colonized countries are supposed to run a trade deficit and hold and use USD amongst ourselves, like coolies on a company farm. This is what makes the US dollar a reserve currency.
This is just the modern version of a tribute economy. We send our goods to America as tribute and get fungimentally worthless notes of recommendation from the Emperor. The whipped trade this scrip amongst themselves and call it free trade. As Roman Empire scholar Bobby Bacala said, to the victor, the spoils. Now Abu Donald is saying, forget the tribute, send us USD, which is the one thing none of us can make! The new policy is fuck off and die, and the Dirty South is forced to fuck off, in lieu of the latter. Our self-dignity was tested and bested, but now they're testing the very idea of self-preservation. Even if we wanted to negotiate, there is no ‘one’ to negotiate with. As Qian Jing said, “there have been about five different [private] channels in the past 10 days engaging with Chinese officials, and all seem to be somehow carrying different messages.” Sri Lanka is last in line for negotiations, they give a flying fuck about us. America is not even giving us a chance to comply with their insane demands, they're just kicking us out. To paraphrase Gramsci, the old world is dying and the new world is struggling to be born. Now is the time of morons.
Trump is also striking the heart of the hostage economy that made us such loyal vassals. We literally paid to have our children re-educated by the colonizers (raises hand in my unpronounceable name, to people that don't understand basic phonetics). Like Game Of Thrones reimaginations of England, America was a hostage economy. As one exchange in Game Of Thrones went,
Rodrik Cassel: "Lord Stark raised you among his own sons!"
Theon Greyjoy: "Among them, but not one of them! I was his hostage! Taken from my home!"
This is the situation of millions of colored and colonized children raised in the (fake silicon) bosom of White Empire. Unlike the Romans, American Empire didn't need to march slaves to the metropole, they just ruin distant nations and the slaves march themselves over. We have sent millions of people to beg and pay or the right to labor within White Empire, providing some of the most reliable colonial administrators. Illegal immigrant form the completely exploitable slave class of modern empire, but legal immigrants are not much better, as they're now finding out. We collectively sent millions of hostages to colonize for the colonizers, and now they're stuck.
Now the hostage deal is falling apart. America is revoking student visas and disappearing people on Green Cards and doing it quite prominently. Imperial bitches like Germany and the UK are following suit. The cruelty is the point, they want the world to know. School is out. Migrant disappearances, torture, and abuse have always been happening (this is America), but now it's happening to educated people who thought they were a class above. Now they're discovering that they were second class all along, and that class is out. Again, these are people that would happily diversify the disaster that is White Empire, but now they are being told quite pointedly to fuck off too. Unfortunately, there will always be a long line of Indians lining up for humiliation at places like Columbia, but a line has been drawn that cannot be undrawn.
Just like with World War I and II, a chance for liberation is emerging out of imperial contradictions (which unfortunately keeps reincarnating, like Star Wars movies nobody asked for). We are already in World War III (if you piss off Hitler by counting Slavs and colored people) and the partisan Resistance against the genocidal colonizers has already started. The Red Army (of China) is unfortunately (for my bleeding heart) just sitting there, but as Napoleon said, when your enemy is defeating themselves, why interrupt? America is blowing all its tinder against refugee camps and hospitals in Palestine and exhausting its European allies in self-defeating action against Russia.
America is trying to pivot to China with one foot stuck in the sand and the other in the swamp. They're running out of ammo and their soft power is all gone. It's still going to take millions of lives to finish the evil empire off (if they don't go nuclear), but they've already blown their own head off. American leadership has been braindead for years. Trump just finished the job.
America was ruled by Ronald Reagan for an entire generation, real Reagan followed by nerd Reagan, cool Reagan, dumb Reagan, and black Reagan. These Reagans deindustrialized America, Biden began demilitarizing it, and Trump is defenestrating it from the fake-ass global economy it built, and the moral reputation it falsely built up. They say when one door closes another one opens, but America has closed all the doors and is sitting alone in the garage with the engine on. There's no reindustrialization this way, just auto-erotic asphyxiation, though not soon enough.
Thank God for the Resistance who defeated 'Israel' and toppled the fake American government of Joe Biden. Now the real fuck-ups of Trump are in charge, and they are accelerating America's demise tenfold. The great salesman has inherited the Great Satan, and is poisoning it with economic snake-oil. The worst person you know is right, because no one should be trading with the White Empire. On the ineptly but aptly named Liberation Day, Trump has declared a global embargo against America, something brave Palestinians have been calling for for years. So shout-out to Abu Donald, calling even the most cowardly nations to economic jihad.
Abubaker Abed writes, “Apache helicopters are drifting low in Deir al-Balah. It is just terrifying and unbearable.” The genocide then, the genocide this time. Their ‘civilization’ is sick, the way its history rhymes. The White Empire takes the name of one genocided people for the weapons it uses in its last (inshallah) genocide. But what are they even fighting for this time?
Genocide once won White Empire entire continents to defile. The Americas, Australia, Africa and Asia supine. Now what? A devastated land not much bigger than Philadelphia becomes the graveyard of their lies. I think, randomly, of the ancient church of Philadelphia, of which Revelations said,
To the angel of the church in Philadelphia write:
These are the words of him who is holy and true, who holds the key of David. What he opens no one can shut, and what he shuts no one can open. I know your deeds. See, I have placed before you an open door that no one can shut. I know that you have little strength, yet you have kept my word and have not denied my name. I will make those who are of the synagogue of Satan, who claim to be Jews though they are not, but are liars—I will make them come and fall down at your feet and acknowledge that I have loved you.
I think of the poetry recited by the martyr Yahya Sinwar, “And the red freedom has a door, struck by every bloodied hand.” This was a poem, Nakbat Dimashq, written by Ahmed Shawqi in 1926 after the brutal French assault on Damascus. The White Empire changes flags but has never flagged in its genocidal violence. I think of Ho Chi Minh's last Testament, proclaiming a victory he would not live to see, when at least a million more had to die. Uncle Ho said in 1969,
No matter what difficulties and hardships lie ahead, our people are sure of total victory. The US imperialists will certainly have to quit. Our Fatherland will certainly be reunified. Our fellow-countrymen in the South and in the North will certainly be re-united under the same roof. We, a small nation, will have earned the signal honour of defeating, through heroic struggle, two big imperialisms — the French and the American — and of making a worthy contribution to the world national liberation movement.
Ho saw it, though he never saw it. Uncle Ho also quoted poetry, saying,
Our mountains will always be,
our rivers will always be,
our people will always be;
The American invaders defeated,
we will rebuild our land ten times more beautiful.
I can hear it but I can't see it, I am a coward and I die many times before getting even close. I must admit that I suffer as the Empire exterminates people without, and disappear people within. These things weigh heavy on my soul, because by good works are so thin. All I do is complain, which the Buddha said is not right livelihood. The only thing I have to offer is that it's not much of a living anymore. They censor everybody, the choice is violence or silence, that much is clear. But what does that mean? If they were winning they wouldn't act like such losers. It might seem like they're getting away with it, but where do they go?
The terrorizers have trademarked terrorism, the wolves herd the sheep. These are such dark times but they are the end of these times, surely. It is only by massive force of arms—around throats and over eyes—that this injustice is sustained. And that energy is simply running out. I call it Collapse³, 'Israel' fell on October 7th, is only sustained by constant American support, which is also collapsing. If that doesn't work, the climate they came up is changing, while their empire depreciates to dust. The scientific apocalypse meets the eschatological in Palestine, then as now the hinge of history. History is tilting back to Asia—where most people live—and the people that sucked us dry are sucking the hardest as their power dissipates, inexorably. They are fighting not like the men of Hamas but like cornered animals (no diss to animals, it's a saying). Oppressing people abroad and repressing people at home takes time, money, and energy, all increasingly scarce quantities. The false flags of White Empire are all flagging in the historical wind. The times, as a crusty old Zionist once said, are a-changing.
Again, what are they fighting for, this time around? Palestine is no big land, no big prize to be won. A united Middle East is not even the primary threat they face, according to their own hegemonic hallucinations (shout-out China). Palestine has no particular value for them, you can see by how glibly they destroy it. Jewishness has no meaning to them, Torah Jews despise 'Israel' as an abomination, a synagogue of Satan. And American Christians are far more Roman than Christian, mass martyring people for recreation. There is no great land here, no great cause, no meaning behind the massacres, no continental consolidation. They're just killing on stealing on autopilot, just because.
When the White Empire killed the Apache, when they death marched the Cherokee, Muskogee, Seminole, Chickasaw, and Choctaw, there was a whole continent to be won. They called this establishing civilization (over far more civilized people), but as Aimé Césaire said, “A civilization that proves incapable of solving the problems it creates is a decadent civilization. A civilization that chooses to close its eyes to its most crucial problems is a stricken civilization. A civilization that uses its principles for trickery and deceit is a dying civilization.” And so here we are at the end of western civilization. We hardly knew ye, and you never knew yourselves at all. As Césaire said, “the continent proceeds toward savagery.” But now they're incontinent. Killing for nothing. They're just sick and the whole world knows it.
As Aime Césaire said, “What am I driving at? At this idea: that no one colonizes innocently, that no one colonizes with impunity either; that a nation which colonizes, that a civilization which justifies colonization—and therefore force—is already a sick civilization, a civilization which is morally diseased, which irresistibly, progressing from one consequence to another, one denial to another, calls for its Hitler, I mean its punishment.”
We don't talk about souls, in this world consumed by the illusions of this world, but what does it profit a man to gain the world and lose his own soul? Do these craven and corrupt people seem happy, will they be respected by their descendants, will they be written well in history, will they be judged well by any God? They have all the resources and none of the respect, all the money and none of the morals, all the power and none of the purpose. It's just naked killing and stealing, without centuries left to get away with it and build statues. The ashes they make of Gaza are the ashes of their own souls, if only they knew.
The end times unwind in agonizingly slow Biblical time, but they are unwinding. Hamas— as an Islamic movement—called it. In 1999, Hamas founder Sheikh Ahmed Yassin said “The Quran tells us that the generations change every 40 years. During the first 40 years, we had the Nakba, in the second 40 years, the Intifada started, with confrontations, the fighting, and the bombs, and the third [group of] 40 years, will see [Israel’s] end, inshallah... To be precise, I say that by 2027, there will be no Israel.” You look back at the defilement of the Crusades and this isn't even the first time this has happened, the Carbon Crusaders will be kicked out by the Resistance fire this time.
This is cold comfort while the bodies are still warm, but justice has been foretold by God, and foreclosed upon by Communism. Pick your antidote, but the poison is not holding. I don't know if I believe in Allah, but I fear and revere them, and They said, “You will surely be tried and tested in your possessions and your persons, and you shall surely hear many hurtful things from those who were given the Book before you and from those who set up partners with God, but if you endure with fortitude and restrain yourselves, that indeed is a matter of strong determination.” As Uncle Ho said,
On the moral plane, the enemy has already failed completely and we have won total victory... Our long war of resistance will have to go through many more difficult periods. We must endure sacrifices and hardships and make great efforts. But we are ready to face sacrifices and sufferings and to exert ourselves for five, ten years in order to break the chains which have held us in slavery over the past eighty years, and regain unity and independence forever.
The old world is dying and the new world is struggling to be born. But it is being born. Now is the time of morons on the imperial side, while the Resistance are philosopher martyrs. These are the times that try men's souls, but as the genocide nears its fever pitch, as the lies scratch and itch, who am I to lose hope? Dwelling in comfort and in cowardice As someone named Leila said, “no patience for those catastrophizing ... have you forgotten what the french did in algeria? what the italians did in libya? what the usa did in iraq? we are dealing with decades, even centuries of genocidal aggression aimed at destroying our peoples & lands.”
If you read history, this is what it is; written in blood, not refraining from refraining. Same genocide, different times, same ecocide, different climes, same history, different rhymes. The plot line of colonialism has always been murder-suicide, though unfortunately in that order. They keep delaying it with more colonizing, but cancer kills both host and self once it runs out of organs. From Crusaders to Carbon Crusaders, they loot, pollute, and leave. I started reading this history because I wanted to understand why the Resistance didn't do more, and I understand it better now, after Reading Resistance.
Why do they only strike when struck, and only in proportion? Why don't they go all out? But as I read the Resistance I realize that this is a Quranic injunction and I am a moronic tourist. Allah Themself said, “If you want to retaliate, retaliate to the same degree as the injury done to you. But if you are patient, it is better to be so. Endure with patience; truly, your patience is possible only with the help of God. Do not grieve for them, or feel distressed because of their plottings.” They also said, “They are planning a scheme, and so am I: so bear with those who deny the truth, and let them be for a little while.”
What it is a little while, especially to a little child, but that's the terror they want you to feel, those that trademarked terrorism and exported it globally. As much as I fear and feel bodily pain, I fear for my soul most often, and the Palestinian soul is intact, most certainly. The martyrs cry out to us all from so far above they might as well be angels, God knows the devils are all here already. Martyrdom is something Christians used to know about, before they became Romans, but then as now, Palestinians must carry the cross, while being whipped and spit upon by both Jew and gentile alike. So as the Apache helicopters drift low over Deir al-Balah, as the Empire reaches new lows in its own metropole, we see the ruined world that the hypocrites have won. But as the souls of the true Palestinian and Apaches alike soar above, we can surely feel a better world to come. Inshallah. I dare not hurry God, but please God, I've died a thousand times already. Please make it soon.