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Probability and stats in GCSE Maths 3 Aug 2013 | 09:23 pm
The current consultation on GCSE subject content and assessment objectives for Mathematics GCSE features major changes for probability and statistics. I encourage everyone with an interest to respond...
Fatality risk on Boris-bikes? 7 Jul 2013 | 01:47 pm
I was very saddened by the death on Friday of a Boris-bike rider in Whitechapel High Street, particularly as I am a frequent and enthusiastic user of the scheme. But as a statistician, I also immediat...
Welcome to Understanding Uncertainty 19 Jun 2013 | 02:53 pm
Welcome to the site that tries to make sense of chance, risk, luck, uncertainty and probability. Mathematics won't tell us what to do, but we think that understanding the numbers can help us deal with...
Speed cameras, regression-to-the-mean, and the Daily Mail (again) 7 Jun 2013 | 03:55 pm
It was interesting to hear ‘regression-to-the-mean’ being discussed on the Today programme this morning, even if the quality of the debate wasn’t great. The issue was the effectiveness of speed camera...
Speed cameras, regression-to-the-mean, and the Daily Mail (again) 7 Jun 2013 | 03:55 pm
It was interesting to hear ‘regression-to-the-mean’ being discussed on the Today programme this morning, even if the quality of the debate wasn’t great. The issue was the effectiveness of speed camera...
How can 2% become 20%? 4 Jun 2013 | 06:57 pm
The Daily Mail headline below is unequivocal – statins cause a 20% increase in muscle problems.
How can 2% become 20%? 4 Jun 2013 | 06:57 pm
The Daily Mail headline below is unequivocal – statins cause a 20% increase in muscle problems.
Court of Appeal bans Bayesian probability (and Sherlock Holmes) 25 Feb 2013 | 02:26 pm
..when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth (Sherlock Holmes in The Sign of the Four, ch. 6, 1890) In a recent judgement the English Court of A...
Court of Appeal bans Bayesian probability (and Sherlock Holmes) 25 Feb 2013 | 02:26 pm
..when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth (Sherlock Holmes in The Sign of the Four, ch. 6, 1890) In a recent judgement the English Court of A...
What's more dangerous - the bute or the burger? 15 Feb 2013 | 01:28 pm
There is reasonable public outrage at possible criminal conspiracies to adulterate meat products with horsemeat, and additional concerns raised about the presence of the anti-inflammatory known as but...
